I got into a small argument with someone who claimed his 10year old daughter (5 years ago at this point) wouldn't have to learn how to drive because self drivin

I got into a small argument with someone who claimed his 10year old daughter (5 years ago at this point) wouldn't have to learn how to drive because self driving cars were so close. That they were follow an exponential growth pattern and that a project with exponential growth over 10 years could be halfway finished at year 9 and still finish on time by year 10. Suffice to say, I am almost certain that his daughter will be learning to drive very soon, and required to drive for years to come.