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Self driving is way over hyped and lots of smart people bought into it. A few years ago I kept commenting about it not being around the corner. A few people com

by wil421 7y ago

Self driving is way over hyped and lots of smart people bought into it. A few years ago I kept commenting about it not being around the corner. A few people compared my comments to “Less space than nomad.” We’ve done the same to AI, what someone called AI a decade ago has been reinvented as AGI. We are doing the same to self-driving cars. “What we really meant by self-driving is self-driving in perfect conditions and normal intersections. You’re thinking of autonomous self-driving or Level X self driving.” All I’ve seen is driver assist tech improve.

mikestew 7y ago
A few people compared my comments to “Less space than nomad.” That's because some people should think harder about their comparisons before they verbalize them. The quoted comment poo-pooed an existing product that you could buy with a mere trip to one's local Apple retailer. Poo-pooing the hype of something that hasn't even been invented yet? To take take the opposite side of that argument with any fervor strikes me as arguing for the sake of it. I mean, until I can ride in one, we could go on all day about when they're likely to appear, couldn't we?
- catalogia 7y ago
  > That's because some people should think harder about their comparisons before they verbalize them. The quoted comment poo-pooed an existing product that you could buy with a mere trip to one's local Apple retailer. cmdrtaco was also criticizing the product as it existed at the time, not the product it would evolve into which, in retrospect, made his criticism seem ridiculous. He was criticizing the first revision which had poor connectivity (firewire only) and little storage (5GB on launch, 10GB later.) The fourth revision, the one that actually became a run-away success, had 20-60GB of storage and was the first to have full USB support. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPod#/media/File:Ipod_sales_per_quarter.svg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPod#/media/File:Ipod_sales_pe...
tashoecraft 7y ago
I got into a small argument with someone who claimed his 10year old daughter (5 years ago at this point) wouldn't have to learn how to drive because self driving cars were so close. That they were follow an exponential growth pattern and that a project with exponential growth over 10 years could be halfway finished at year 9 and still finish on time by year 10. Suffice to say, I am almost certain that his daughter will be learning to drive very soon, and required to drive for years to come.

by wil421 7y ago

mikestew 7y ago

A few people compared my comments to “Less space than nomad.” That's because some people should think harder about their comparisons before they verbalize them. The quoted comment poo-pooed an existing product that you could buy with a mere trip to one's local Apple retailer. Poo-pooing the hype of something that hasn't even been invented yet? To take take the opposite side of that argument with any fervor strikes me as arguing for the sake of it. I mean, until I can ride in one, we could go on all day about when they're likely to appear, couldn't we?

catalogia 7y ago
> That's because some people should think harder about their comparisons before they verbalize them. The quoted comment poo-pooed an existing product that you could buy with a mere trip to one's local Apple retailer. cmdrtaco was also criticizing the product as it existed at the time, not the product it would evolve into which, in retrospect, made his criticism seem ridiculous. He was criticizing the first revision which had poor connectivity (firewire only) and little storage (5GB on launch, 10GB later.) The fourth revision, the one that actually became a run-away success, had 20-60GB of storage and was the first to have full USB support. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPod#/media/File:Ipod_sales_per_quarter.svg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPod#/media/File:Ipod_sales_pe...

tashoecraft 7y ago

I got into a small argument with someone who claimed his 10year old daughter (5 years ago at this point) wouldn't have to learn how to drive because self driving cars were so close. That they were follow an exponential growth pattern and that a project with exponential growth over 10 years could be halfway finished at year 9 and still finish on time by year 10. Suffice to say, I am almost certain that his daughter will be learning to drive very soon, and required to drive for years to come.