Ah yeah, I did not want to rule out the possibility that people in general may be shit at forming their own opinions even when they do spend the time and energy

Ah yeah, I did not want to rule out the possibility that people in general may be shit at forming their own opinions even when they do spend the time and energy. But that also opens the rabbit hole into why that would be the case (low vs high intelligence - but intelligence is hard to generalize), and variance of judgement based on context (e.g. quality soccer judgement vs shit hockey judgement for same person). All of which kind of comes back to quantitative changes to either time or energy needed for each person to get to an acceptable judgement (even if it's infinite of both for some people-topic pairs), and both of those resources are incredibly finite compared to the volume of topics that are beneficial to the community to have beliefs on. The big point I want to drive home here, which I have a feeling we agree on, is that we should prioritize the topics people are forming their beliefs on more than what those beliefs are. This is something authoritative figures actually can help with (for better or worse) due to the centralization. So imo, maybe you disagree here, it is not enough to simply allow authoritative sources to exist but we should be more actively promoting sources as authorities for topics.