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I'm not sure if this article hammers home the key point: extracting carbon from the air always takes more energy that was gained by burning the fossil fuel to m
by jarvist 7y ago
I'm not sure if this article hammers home the key point: extracting carbon from the air always takes more energy that was gained by burning the fossil fuel to make that carbon. This is inevitable due to the entropy cost of de-mixing CO2 from the air, and from the limited efficiencies of thermal power generation (~33-40% for a coal power plant, perhaps 20% in an internal combustion engine), and limited efficiency of the carbon capture technology.
So it only makes sense to spend energy on sucking CO2 out of the atmosphere, once you've already de-carbonised everything which you possibly can.
Maybe it has a future role (>2050? >2100?) to start using excess low-carbon energy to take CO2 levels back to their pre-industrial level, or to constantly offset hard-to-decarbonise technologies such as air travel.
- ForHackernews 7y ago> Maybe it has a future role (>2050? >2100?) It absolutely must, or else it's basically already too late: https://www.vox.com/2016/10/4/13118594/2-degrees-no-more-fossil-fuels https://www.vox.com/2016/10/4/13118594/2-degrees-no-more-fos... > This image should terrify you. It should be on billboards. > As you can see, in either scenario, global emissions must peak and begin declining immediately. For a medium chance to avoid 1.5 degrees, the world has to zero out net carbon emissions by 2050 or so — for a good chance of avoiding 2 degrees, by around 2065. > After that, emissions have to go negative. Humanity has to start burying a lot more carbon than it throws up into the atmosphere.... Thus far, most demonstration plants of any size attaching CCS to fossil fuel facilities have been over-budget disasters. What if we can’t rely on it? What if it never pans out? > If we really want to avoid 1.5 degrees, and we can’t rely on large-scale carbon sequestration, then the global community has to zero out its carbon emissions by 2026. (emphasis mine)
- aidenn0 7y agoMy dad sees articles like this and he'll just say that maybe the damage needed to prevent warming is worse than the damage that will be done by the warming.
- AnthonyMouse 7y agoThe cost to ordinary people would actually be relatively minor. You buy an electric car instead of a gasoline one. The average new car price in the US is ~$36,000. A new Nissan Leaf starts below $30,000, Model 3 only a little more than that. Replace coal with alternatives. We can do at least as well as nuclear, which is barely any more expensive than coal has been. Best case is that storage gets a lot cheaper than it is and then the price of electricity goes down from the historical norm. Capture could cost as little as zero. Renewables inherently have to build over-capacity to compensate for intermittency, but that means there are days when they generate more power than there is demand. Use the rest for carbon capture and it's free. The real "cost" to fixing it, and the big lobby against it, is that the oil and coal companies would take a nosedive. Literally trillions of dollars in lost revenue. It moves to alternatives. It isn't economic damage, it's displacement. But the specific people who own the oil and coal reserves stand to lose their shirts, and these are not people lacking in political influence. Everything you hear about the high cost -- it's only really a cost to them. To you it's just an upgrade to electric. But we still have to actually do it. A carbon tax so that people do all buy electric cars and stop burning coal. It's a thing we can do but not a thing we have done yet.
- aidenn0 7y agoThe point of the Vox article is that just switching from gas to electric isn't going to be enough. The argument is that without large-scale carbon capture we will not hit the 1.5C goal. Large-scale carbon capture is still untested. Reforestation is the only well established large-scale carbon capture but is very land intensive.
- pinkfoot 7y agoSpekboom (Portulacaria afra) is said to sequester up 10 times the carbon of a rain forest by area. This is largely due to a special mechanism that continues photosynthesis at night. And it grows best in semi-arid regions. Where people don't live or farm.
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- Mvandenbergh 7y ago>It absolutely must, or else it's basically already too late: This is solution bias though. "We need it to work therefore it will" The universe doesn't owe us anything. DAC has been added to these scenarios as a sort of balancing element to make the models add up but that has no bearing on whether DAC is possible at scale.
- _rpd 7y ago> it only makes sense to spend energy on sucking CO2 out of the atmosphere, once you've already de-carbonised everything which you possibly can. Except possibly when energy prices are negative due to wind and solar intermittency - although that is also a signal that you need more storage in the grid, additional storage may not be economic for some reason.
- strainer 7y agoSome captured CO2 might be used with cheap electricity to make carbon neutral fuel - which is of course a form of stored energy itself. A pilot project in Germany is doing this[1]: > The green hydrogen will be combined with carbon dioxide captured from the cement plant to produce synthetic methanol, which would then be refined into carbon-neutral synthetic kerosene (ie, aviation fuel), for use at the nearby Hamburg airport. The airport is hoping that 5% of all fuel used there will be carbon-neutral by 2025. [1] https://www.rechargenews.com/transition/offshore-wind-to-power-giant-green-hydrogen-carbon-neutral-aviation-fuel-plant/2-1-696907 https://www.rechargenews.com/transition/offshore-wind-to-pow...
- gwbas1c 7y agoHonestly, I suspect that long-term storage will be inefficient for a long time. For example, batteries exceed 90% efficiency for storage, but they are only cost effective for day-to-day storage. (Charge when the sun is out, discharge at night.) In contrast, charge during long summer days, and discharge during shorter winter days will probably be lower efficiency at first. For example, generating hydrogen by electrolysis is about 75% efficient (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrogen_production#Electrolysis https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrogen_production#Electrolys...), and then pressurizing it will also consume energy. This means it may be more cost efficient to extract CO2 from the atmosphere as "storage" and then burn natural gas... At least until we find a better way to store energy than hydrogen!
- basicplus2 7y agoCheaper if you are planting trees/plants or algea for say diesel production
- mirimir 7y agoExactly! But even so, meaningful collective global action is seeming less and less likely. So I can imagine that some with surplus greenhouse-neutral energy could capture CO2 to offset emissions by others.
- colechristensen 7y agoYou're assuming perfect elasticity of energy supply which there absolutely is not. There is quite a mismatch between solar and wind production and electricity usage patters which is why storage is such a hot issue. Already there have been brief periods where 100% of energy production in a few regions was renewable. Those will certainly only grow in frequency and duration. You don't start working on this technology when everything else is ready for it, you start as quickly as possible so the tech is ready when the rest of the world is ready for it.
- gibybo 7y ago> extracting carbon from the air always takes more energy that was gained by burning the fossil fuel to make that carbon. This sounds true at first glance, but is it always? It seems like it's obviously true for simple reactions like burning methane and converting it back to methane since the energy you get from it is equal to or less than the energy required to turn it back into methane, but might there be some other chemical reactions where you can turn it into something less energetic than the molecule it came from?
- zozbot234 7y agoYes, there are rocks that will "extract" carbon from the air on their own if crushed into sand. They are even reasonably abundant, so it seems like they would be a feasible tool for carbon capture. It would basically amount to speeding up the natural carbon cycle, which normally keeps carbon dioxide concentrations relatively stable in the very long run.
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- rapnie 7y agoThe rocks are called olivine, and are very common. They indeed look very promising for CO2 absorption. https://www.betterworldsolutions.eu/is-olivine-the-solution-against-climate-change-and-ocean-acidification/ https://www.betterworldsolutions.eu/is-olivine-the-solution-...
- pfdietz 7y agoIt's not true at all. Turning the CO2 back into fuel would take as much energy as burning it released, but simply capturing the CO2 from the air need not.
- iso1337 7y agoThere is a well known relationship summarized in the Sherwood plot. https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/108/51/20428/F1.large.jpg https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/108/51/20428/F1.large.jpg related paper: https://www.pnas.org/content/108/51/20428 https://www.pnas.org/content/108/51/20428 Your basic intuition is correct in that the more dilute something is, the more costly it is to extract/purify it.
- pfdietz 7y agoA properly engineered DAC system will be much less expensive than the number they found. https://www.cell.com/joule/fulltext/S2542-4351(18)30225-3 https://www.cell.com/joule/fulltext/S2542-4351(18)30225-3
- jandrewrogers 7y agoThat paper only looks at the energy/cost balance of the plant, not the chemical feedstock. Production of that feedstock is energy intensive, the recycling is not 100% efficient per the paper (i.e. it will constantly have to be replenished), and the industrial infrastructure to produce those chemicals at the necessary scale to materially reduce atmospheric carbon simply doesn't exist. Any cost model for large-scale DAC must include the capital and operational costs of new feedstock factories to keep the DAC supplied at scale. It won't be cheap. The pilots can ignore this because they rely on the excess capacity of existing industrial infrastructure.
- pfdietz 7y agoNot at all -- the cost of makeup streams for chemicals are included in the O&M cost (table 2).
- Robotbeat 7y agoNot objectively true, as plants and even rocks grab CO2 out of the air pretty efficiently. From a thermodynamics standpoint, you can burn fossil fuels at 50-70% efficient (50% is not uncommon), and the actual theoretical lower bound of CO2 direct air capture is ~20 kJ/mol,[0] or about 1.7MJ/kg of elemental carbon, compared to 33MJ/kg for burning elemental carbon (same as high grade coal). (Burning methane is even better as it releases much more energy per unit CO2 i.e. ~860kJ-per-mole-of-CO2 vs anthracite's ~400kJ.) And as others have said, rocks actually are able to exothermally absorb CO2 permanently. It's possible to speed this up by grinding rocks to a powder, placing in water with a catalyst. ...none of this is to say I support relying on direct air capture and just go ahead and burn fossil fuels. We need to keep that in the ground and transfer the whole civilization to non-fossil fuels, otherwise if some populist jerks wer elected, they could just order the expensive direct air capture program to stop (can't do that if you're already transitioned to clean energy and all your wellheads and drills and coal mining equipment are rusted or melted down for scrap). Source: [0] https://www.researchgate.net/publication/257177020_The_thermodynamics_of_direct_air_capture_of_carbon_dioxide https://www.researchgate.net/publication/257177020_The_therm...
- kijin 7y ago> Burning methane is even better Actually, burning is probably the best way to deal with any excess methane. Methane has a significantly higher warming potential than CO2 does. So if there's any methane we're venting into the atmosphere, we should burn it to convert it into CO2. Bonus points if you can use the generated energy to capture the CO2 as well.
- relieferator 7y agoFrom what I can recall, landfills produce more methane than any other process. How about we build a carbon capture next to every landfill, divert the methane and burn it to run the DAC?
- SystemOut 7y agoLandfills do collect and burn methane. Those pipe like structures you see sticking out of a completed landfill are part of the process. https://archive.epa.gov/climatechange/kids/solutions/technologies/methane.html https://archive.epa.gov/climatechange/kids/solutions/technol...
- theothermkn 7y agoI think that you're thinking of the cost of turning the CO2 (and water) back into fuel, which can be argued along thermodynamic and irreversibility lines to show that unscrambling that egg always requires more energy than obtained from combusting. However, I don't think there is a similar thermodynamic argument on the energy costs of mere capture. It's not a priori impossible that a fractional distillation column with a clever configuration of heat exchangers, for example, could capture all the carbon released by the fossil-fueled plant that powered the column in the first place (and more). Arguing that mere capture would require more energy than is released would be akin to arguing that cleaning the fireplace would require more energy than was released by the fire, on the mistaken grounds that ash removal took as much energy as regrowing the wood that was burned. Both the ash and the CO2 are in a lower energy state, so there's thermodynamic room to maneuver.
- rb808 7y ago> So it only makes sense to spend energy on sucking CO2 out of the atmosphere, once you've already de-carbonised everything which you possibly can. Not necessarily. I'm thinking of cold polar winters with no wind and no sun, people burning fossil fuels to stay warm. Meanwhile in deserts solar panels powering carbon capture machines to reverse the greenhouse gases back again. Maybe even the carbon capture creates synthetic coal which can be shipped to the cold regions.
- m4rtink 7y agoYeah, you can basically use the atmosphere as a chemical battery. Also, a better example than heating homes with coal is aircraft. Long distance air plane travel is so far only doable via fossil fuels due to their energy density. And while you can run a electric line to a house and heat it with electricity, this is not possible for long range aircraft. So the idea is you use hydrocarbons to run aircraft and then capture the CO2 produced and turn it into more hydrocarbons to run your airplanes. This of course requires clean energy source to work, but is perfectly doable. :)
- chrisweekly 7y agoHere's my vote for planting more trees and especially letting older forests grow and thrive.
- rayiner 7y ago> So it only makes sense to spend energy on sucking CO2 out of the atmosphere, once you've already de-carbonised everything which you possibly can. The actual point is much narrower than that. It doesn't make sense to spend energy on sucking CO2 out of the atmosphere, unless: 1) You use an energy source that produces less carbon than the amount you're taking out; and 2) You're not displacing demand that must then be satisfied by an energy source that produces more CO2 than you're taking out. In other words, it doesn't make sense to burn coal to capture CO2, but it doesn't also make sense to use nuclear power to capture CO2 if that means that some other demand will have to be satisfied with coal instead of nuclear power. But it goes too far to say that the above criteria only hold "once you've already de-carbonised everything which you possibly can." For example, if you build a surplus of renewable power (which we have in some cases, where instantaneous generation exceeds what the grid can use at that moment), it makes sense to use that to suck out CO2, even if, for example, you haven't replaced ICE vehicles with electric vehicles. As a practical matter, we need carbon capture much earlier than 2050 or 2100 to keep below 1.5C or 2C. For example, China plans to ban EVs by 2040: https://www.forbes.com/sites/energyinnovation/2018/05/30/chinas-all-in-on-electric-vehicles-heres-how-that-will-accelerate-sales-in-other-nations/#30bb533ae5c1 https://www.forbes.com/sites/energyinnovation/2018/05/30/chi.... Even if they stick to that plan, they will put out hundreds of millions of ICE vehicles on the road until that time. Even by 2025, official goals will leave 60% of new Chinese vehicles as ICE. If you look at the mitigation pathways for 1.5C, they require the whole world hitting net zero emissions by 2050 and often going net negative soon after that: https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/05/SR15_Chapter2_Low_Res.pdf https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/05/SR15... That will not happen. Indians and Chinese aren't going to stop building high-speed rail (which puts out a huge amount of carbon due to the concrete used), skyscrapers, etc. Nigeria's population is going to balloon to 400 million. We're going to need to build a large number of nukes and offshore wind to capture all that new CO2.
- gok 7y ago> if you build a surplus of renewable power … it makes sense to use that to suck out CO2 Although it's unclear that resources to build carbon capture infrastructure wouldn't be better spent on (say) energy storage. > China plans to ban EVs by 2040 I think they plan to require EVs by 2040...
- davesque 7y agoSure, but does it matter? If we decide that's a better use for the energy, then we spend it that way. And can't we capture any carbon generated through that process instead of releasing it as further emissions?