One good rule of thumb is that a transforming technology was in existence 15-20 years before it became revolutionary. Applying that to this list: 1. Machine tr

One good rule of thumb is that a transforming technology was in existence 15-20 years before it became revolutionary. Applying that to this list: 1. Machine translation already exists and is getting better. Will it be ubiquitous? Unlikely. Only tourists and those interacting with them will normally carry them. 2. No way. We cant even see the way to go. Cure a disease and another pops up to take its place. By 2030 we may know enough to start. 3. Another no. If people have the freedom to make bad choices, there will always be extreme poverty. Will the police do daily roundups to force people into shelter, into mental helth facilities? Singapore maybe. 4. No, except for a few exceptions, like pot. It's economics. Who is going to grow wheat in Manhattan? 5. Of course. Google already has the prototypes. 6. Yes, but somewhere along the line technology will enable the trend to reverse, 7. I dont think so, even if the technology. We wont see flying cars because of cost and liability issues and the publicity of even infrequent crashes. Airliners will still have pilots because of public confidence. It's possible that cargo planes will perhaps have ground based pilots/monitors. In the military, of course. 8. No way. The economics arent there, except for a few hundred rich people per year. The experimental technology doesnt exist today. 9. Yes for low budget films and a lot of TV. Blockbusters will use actors, because stars sell films. We still have theater, opera, and concerts an films will still have actors. 10. Probably so. 11. If large numbers means several of your friends, even hackers, the answer is no. I dont think having a robot, can compare to having a real girl tell you she loves you. And I dont think a real girl will put up with the competition.