2 ms·
Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, Fukushima. They are rare but high impact ("black swan") events. Just like terrorism, it causes a strong imprint on the minds of s
by thephyber 7y ago
Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, Fukushima. They are rare but high impact ("black swan") events.
Just like terrorism, it causes a strong imprint on the minds of some people which seemingly overpowers their ability to rationally weigh observed statistics and make balanced choices.
I want to know why we can't even seem to build the few (2-3) which have started construction, but the projects are so massive that they constantly run over budget and behind timelines[1]. Until we fix that issue, I don't want the precious resources of PG&E's corpse to make risky bets on massive nuclear infra projects. It just seems like throwing lots of money at contractors who no longer know how to make massive projects on time or built to architectural spec.
I would, however, like to see a lot more R&D on small, lower-temperature reactors, possibly ones that reuse spent fuel rods from larger traditional nuclear power reactors.
[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/31/climate/nuclear-power-project-canceled-in-south-carolina.html https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/31/climate/nuclear-power-pro...
- robocat 7y ago"black swan" events - avoid this term as it is super confusing. Black swans were thought to be rare, then they discovered that they were common in the Southern hemisphere. Black swans are definitely not rare (there are many hundreds within a few kilometres of my home).
- nl 7y agoThe term "Black Swan" comes from the Taleb book and it refers to something previously thought to be impossible. Black swans were thought to be impossible (they had never been seen in the northern hemisphere), then they were discovered. The fail-safes for nuclear reactors were all thought to be invulnerable until they weren't.