We suck at estimating in general. In tech we suck bigtime! Whether it takes 50 or 500 years, the point is that we'll totally missestimate it and when it does fi

We suck at estimating in general. In tech we suck bigtime! Whether it takes 50 or 500 years, the point is that we'll totally missestimate it and when it does finally happen it will totally take us by surprise... and likely we'll do something very very stupid in response to being surprised by it.