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The Nazis are not a terror group so they did not use guerilla warfare. Alqaeda was a terror group which did use guerilla warfare. NeoNazis are terror groups unl
by badrabbit 7y ago
The Nazis are not a terror group so they did not use guerilla warfare. Alqaeda was a terror group which did use guerilla warfare. NeoNazis are terror groups unlike actual Nazis so the historical pattern tells us they are more likely to use Guerilla warfare and focus on uni students and rural population (initially) if they escalate to a full blown campaign to affect change via terror.
So the pattern is very useful there.
You don't chose a pattern for subjective reasons, you choose a pattern in relation to an observation you are making about current events. You look for patterns between what you see now and similar contexts in the past so that you can form a hypothesis and then a theory after appling critical thinking to it.
There most certainly are many many patterns in history, that's the whole point of the academic study if history. You learn from historical patterns and see if you can learn from the past. For example you can look at the Gin Craze in 1700's england and the prohibition era US and see what laws and measures to control the drug of alcohol failed or succeeded and why. You can then draw parallels with modern day drug war and legalization efforts so that policy makers will make an informed decison instead of just winging it. Attempts to implement a heavy tax and implicitly ban gin made things worse with improper distilation poisoning people,as did US prohibition era controls and I can also theorize the fentanyl and heroin controls of today is a historical pattern repeating itself. The Gin craze died when laws were implemented to allow only higher end establishments to trade Gin, making it affordable and good quality but not as cheap as it was before. Some countries like portugal have legalized most drugs allowing addicts to pay for it and use it so long as a trained medical professional administers it -- they report success and drop overdoses and poisonings.
Your refusal to accept and learn from historical patterns is not new. People naturally think they are special and as you can see with my substance control example, the US refuses to accept history and as a result thousands continue to die of drug abuse overdose.