6 ms·
>0% and 100% are indefensible for any uninformed prior. If none of the answers are correct, the chance of picking the correct answer is 0%.
by cyborgx7 7y ago
>0% and 100% are indefensible for any uninformed prior.
If none of the answers are correct, the chance of picking the correct answer is 0%.
- AstralStorm 7y agoAgain, not for a question that has a defensible answer present when you're picking at random. (Uninformed prior.) If there is no defensible answer present, it's still not 0%, it's a paradox. The answer is dependent on base axioms accepted. (Axiom of choice and axiom of regularity are a few.) The answer set is Dedekind-finite and countable, whereupon probability is 1/logically consistent answers given the axioms chosen.
- shantly 7y agoWake up, check HN, see a lively argument about whether something that can't happen has a 0% probability of happening or not. Maybe I'll go for a walk.
- cyborgx7 7y agoOf course, a uniform distribution is implied. The fact that you choose to misunderstand this on purpose, doesn't make you smart or right. It makes you a pedant who is still wrong.
- northern-lights 7y agoNot quite. Because the chance is 0%, the fact that you were able to pick the choice (with 0%) at all implies a contradiction.