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If you think what he's done was easily foreseeable as possible, you haven't been paying much attention to headlines the past fifteen years.
by aerovistae 7y ago
If you think what he's done was easily foreseeable as possible, you haven't been paying much attention to headlines the past fifteen years.
- marvin 7y agoIt's only obvious in retrospect. Every step along the way, there has been thousands of people saying "this is impossible" or "this is theoretically possible, but it can't be engineered" or "this is possible in principle, but it will be so costly to develop that it doesn't make sense". When AGI is developed, it will seem obvious in retrospect. Participating engineers will receive middle-brow dismissals saying that this was obviously practically possible, since after all the human brain operates according to the laws of physics.
- aerovistae 7y agoExactly.
- ufmace 7y agoDon't miss the "physically" part, that's critical. Something being physically possible is very different from it being a practical business.