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Thanks for giving so much detail about what you expect! This seems pretty hard to formalize a bet about, though, since the core disagreement is over "Firefox w

by jefftk 7y ago

Thanks for giving so much detail about what you expect! This seems pretty hard to formalize a bet about, though, since the core disagreement is over "Firefox will block more visible ads and popups" which you'd put at 55% and I'd put at ~50%.

danShumway 7y ago
I want to stress that I think 50% is high here, because the default state is that most browsers do basically the same amount of stuff. If you asked me to make a bet on whether Firefox would be meaningfully better than Chrome on, like, SSL support, I would give that a pretty low probability -- maybe 10% off the top of my head. Because I expect that a year from now nothing drastic is going to happen that would magically make either browser be different from each other on that front. It's not 50% "one of the two things will happen, flip a coin", it's 50% "we will see a meaningful change from the status quo."