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SoftBank Next 30-Year Vision (2010) [pdf]
- sajithdilshan 7y agoIs this for real? Whoever made the slides was smoking some good stuff.
- aezakmi 7y agoJust jap "boomers" selling smoke and mirrors.
- jackattack 7y agoOh, all of Masa Son's "visionary" presentations are instant classics. Telepathic banking is my fav from his 300 year plan.
- mahesh_rm 7y agoThe scope of a 30 years vision I would be happy with would encompass the channeling of capital away from old fat clown bankers, toward its efficient distribution to young hungry minds.
- mmjaa 7y agoSo at some point in such a future it'll be the old, beatup guys who want to take the money from the young, elite, smart people. How about we just shoot for 'everyones lives are improved' instead of just passing the buck.
- arcturus17 7y agoYoung hungry minds like the WeWork guy? It seems to me the money might be largely staying in the circus.
- aurelienb 7y agoThen why did they invest in WeWork [/s]
- puranjay 7y agoJokes aside, anyone who solves the loneliness problem for remote workers (something that WeWork attempts to solve) will benefit itself and society a great deal.
- s_dev 7y agoThis deck doesn't seem real.
- LudwigNagasena 7y agoI would fire the intern who did this presentation.
- unionpivo 7y agoHonestly Its so bad, I don't think any intern would dare to produce this as a final result. On the other hand I have seen plenty of times when nobody had balls to tell higher up that what they produced is piece of crap
- square_usual 7y agoLooks like something I would've made in college with two hours left before the pitch
- revicon 7y ago“Think til our brains crush”
- mkagenius 7y agoQuick tip if hangs: Zoom out a lot and then scroll
- cryptozeus 7y ago500 bil operating income, won’t hire graphic designer to create a slideshow.
- ignoramous 7y agoIn their defence: https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/ https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/
- ForHackernews 7y agoThat's the website of a company with nothing to prove.
- unionpivo 7y agoI like it. Its clear, you can quickly find information you are looking for. I like it more than typical generic corporate website that futures, superlatives, and doesn't even explain what they do.
- alcio 7y agoOn one slide, there's a mention that in 2300, computers will have 10^60 elements in them. However, there's only 10^50 atoms on Earth.
- goldenkey 7y agoYou are forgetting that atoms mean nothing. It's about the hamiltonian, action, energy. There is no reason that you cannot use a shit ton of photons in flux with mirrored logic gates. You can pretty much create as many low frequency bosons you want... Remember relay lines as RAM? Electrons were used. Expensive compared to a lower energy particle like a photon. Photon relay lines :-)
- eequah9L 7y agoIt's even worse. That slide compares number of computer elements vs. number of cells in human brain. The graph starts at 1x the amount (CPU == brain), and ends 10^60x the amount.
- puranjay 7y agoIf this wasn't hosted by SoftBank, I would have thought its a parody created by someone with MS Paint and a poor grasp of English
- glofish 7y agoThe director needs to take a break from Final Fantasy style RPGs.
- Traster 7y agoSlide 43: Contention that Transistors are comparable to cells. This crazy talk is continued throughout the presentation. Slide 44: Contends that Moore's law will continue for the next 300 years. Slide 58: A fantastic butchering of Maslow's hierarchy of needs. Slide 61: Unsubstantiated (probably wrong) claim life expectancy is going to linearly increase for the next 300 years. Slide 73: Contention that storage scales at the same rate as number of transistors on a CPU and apparently conflates that with the power of a CPU. Slide 82-85: Contention that we'll acheive VR in... 2040. I mean this presentation is just laughably shit. It's like it's written by someone who has no interest or understanding of the complexity of the things they're meant to be talking about. You would have thought that people would see some of the absurd things that are just obviously rubbish and have it damage the credibility of the presentation, but apparently not.
- reportgunner 7y ago> It's like it's written by someone who has no interest or understanding of the complexity of the things they're meant to be talking about. Marketing today.
- matheusmoreira 7y agoI'm impressed you actually made it that far. I stopped reading when they translated all the cause of death statistics into loneliness.
- HenryBemis 7y agoIn Japan loneliness is a big issue. I remember reading how people 70+ commit crimes JUST to go to prison, so they have somebody to care for them. (https://www.bbc.com/news/stories-47033704 https://www.bbc.com/news/stories-47033704) People can die from loneliness/depression. They just give up and then their health deteriorates. Yes it's not the loneliness that kills you, it is some organ(s) failing, but the root cause is loneliness/giving up.
- ekianjo 7y ago> how people 70+ commit crimes JUST to go to prison, That BBC article is, like many things they write about Japan, completely ignorant and click-baity. So you better look up other sources if you want to find reliable information.
- onetimemanytime 7y ago300 year plan. No wonder they fell for WeWork. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21297789 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21297789 Adam Neumann: “It’s important that one day, maybe in 100 years, maybe in 300 years, a great-great-granddaughter of mine will walk into that room and say, ‘Hey, you don’t know me; I actually control the place. The way you’re acting is not how we built it,'” he said."
- Traster 7y agoI don't think they fell for We Work, they are the same as We Work. They're doing exactly the same thing We Work did - talk so abstractly and grandly about their vision that people miss the fact that nothing actually works. We Work was a great tool for Softbank to push the exact same con as We Work. You can't say CPUs with more transistors than atoms on the earth and then actually invest in a semi-conductor company.
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- new_here 7y agoThis looks like 133 startup memes rolled into a PDF.
- wozniacki 7y agoHas anyone written about the earliest origins of Softbank's massive war chest? You'd on occasion hear about Softbank in the late aughts but nothing worthy of note. And then suddenly just like that it was everywhere. They hired Nikesh Arora who was let go just as swiftly as they hired him. As President & Chief Operating Officer of SoftBank Corp. Arora received over $200 million in compensation over the last two years" while at the head of Softbank's operations. This pay package made him world's highest paid executive.[1] Is there a rhyme to any of the stuff they do? Or is it on the whims and fancies of Masayoshi Son? Is there an exhaustive read somewhere, on all of this? [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nikesh_Arora#SoftBank_Corp https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nikesh_Arora#SoftBank_Corp.
- changchuming 7y agoThey got lucky by investing in Alibaba and cashed out. Made 100bil that way and suddenly everyone thought Masa was a genius. Saudi princes started giving him free money and the rest is history.
- nairboon 7y agoUnfortunately the 30-year vision will take longer than the projected 30 years due to a slight miscalculation: the number of human brain cells is not 30B as it should for a 30year plan but is actually a bit larger. Number of neurons alone is 80+B therefore using the softbank-linear-interpolation-method, the targeted cloud-downloadable-happiness-rate of 30 EH (exa-happinesses) will not be realized in 30 years and takes least 80.
- lemax 7y ago“The simplest way to view SoftBank is as an indebted holding company that owns a basket of assets, which are of mixed quality and often themselves indebted”. For more context on Mr. Son and the fragility of SoftBank’s model, below recent Economist article is a good read https://www.economist.com/business/2019/11/07/hard-times-for-softbank https://www.economist.com/business/2019/11/07/hard-times-for...
- goodmachine 7y ago"Zero speed network" Tricky but doable.
- unionpivo 7y agoUnplug the cable ? :)