"Even the IPCC"? You make it sound as if the IPCC were some sort of advocacy group. That aside, there's no conflict. You're talking about whether the current d

"Even the IPCC"? You make it sound as if the IPCC were some sort of advocacy group. That aside, there's no conflict. You're talking about whether the current data is within trend lines, Swiss Re is saying that the errors bars on its forecasts are growing wider. wider error bars (less accurate forecasts) is a problem for an insurer, even if the middle of the forecast isn't moving.