4 ms·

It's easy to calculate. They claimed to have shipped 1.5Mio to carriers on the 21th of December. Now they claim it's 2 Mio. I'd expect that the carriers only o

It's easy to calculate. They claimed to have shipped 1.5Mio to carriers on the 21th of December. Now they claim it's 2 Mio. I'd expect that the carriers only order new phones after the old ones have been sold, so one can wager that the carriers sold around 500.000 phones since december the 21th. So that's around 500.000 / 37. That makes it around 13.000 activations a day. So given that the device was introduced beginning of November, it has been on the market for 2month and a couple of days. So then we have 13.000 * 85days = around 1.1 mio devices sold. The rest is waiting on shelves for eager customers. Doesn't sound too good.

kenjackson 16y ago
Although today WP7 has the least global reach of any of the major smartphones. Android is on all carriers. iPhone is on fewer carriers in the US, but more worldwide, and Blackberry is everywhere. W/o Verizon and Sprint they'll continue to struggle. And frankly they should have made sure they were on Verizon before iPhone. A US CDMA launch would have likely been better than a global GSM launch. And the phone still has many holes in it. It looks like a great foundation, but they need to fix the holes a LOT faster than they've been doing. Not fixing the holes is frankly inexcusable. And IMO probably the best indication that MS is culturally broken. I get having trouble rev'ing Office or Windows -- those have huge existing user bases (deeply entrenched inthe enterprise) so you have to be extremely careful and move with great deliberation. With phones they have no legacy, no current customers, aren't in the enterprise at all, are playing catch up, and have huge holes. If this isn't a time when you rev hard and fast, I'm not sure when it is. And they have a great model in Chrome of a team that can do it with high quality. MS not being agile with WP7 would worry me more than threats to Office and Windows, because it indicates an inability to react.
shaggyfrog 16y ago
I'm not so sure about this. If I'm Acme Phone Retailer and I ordered and stocked 150 phones for launch, and 3 months later I still have 100 of them, I'm not placing an order for another 50 phones. That would not only tie up valuable capital for a badly-selling product, but also tie up shelf space in the back and shelf space in the front.

kenjackson 16y ago

Although today WP7 has the least global reach of any of the major smartphones. Android is on all carriers. iPhone is on fewer carriers in the US, but more worldwide, and Blackberry is everywhere. W/o Verizon and Sprint they'll continue to struggle. And frankly they should have made sure they were on Verizon before iPhone. A US CDMA launch would have likely been better than a global GSM launch. And the phone still has many holes in it. It looks like a great foundation, but they need to fix the holes a LOT faster than they've been doing. Not fixing the holes is frankly inexcusable. And IMO probably the best indication that MS is culturally broken. I get having trouble rev'ing Office or Windows -- those have huge existing user bases (deeply entrenched inthe enterprise) so you have to be extremely careful and move with great deliberation. With phones they have no legacy, no current customers, aren't in the enterprise at all, are playing catch up, and have huge holes. If this isn't a time when you rev hard and fast, I'm not sure when it is. And they have a great model in Chrome of a team that can do it with high quality. MS not being agile with WP7 would worry me more than threats to Office and Windows, because it indicates an inability to react.

shaggyfrog 16y ago

I'm not so sure about this. If I'm Acme Phone Retailer and I ordered and stocked 150 phones for launch, and 3 months later I still have 100 of them, I'm not placing an order for another 50 phones. That would not only tie up valuable capital for a badly-selling product, but also tie up shelf space in the back and shelf space in the front.