But getting it exactly right isn't the point, is it? You were asking how many should you short, if you think the market hasn't priced the lock out in ,the answ

But getting it exactly right isn't the point, is it? You were asking how many should you short, if you think the market hasn't priced the lock out in ,the answer doesn't have to be optimal, it's just more than the usual volume. What am I missing? For sure you couldn't know it would be 95 mil, but is 20 really that speculative?