3 ms·
If you want to judge a random walk in a meaningful way, you never ask "what's the probability of reaching X started?" you ask "how long do you stay in states l
by bronzeage 7y ago
If you want to judge a
random walk in a meaningful way, you never ask "what's the probability of reaching X started?" you ask "how long do you stay in states like X".
the expected time to exit "oligarchy" states should be pretty small. the whole discussion is completely meaningless, they intentionally asked a misleading question.
- anotherone15 7y agoThey are pointing out the existence of a fixed point in the oligarch state. Yes, you can estimate the time to leave this fixed state by invoking an analogy to a classical mechanics problem, where the time to leave is proportional to the exponential of the action.