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The source I provided shows that the growth rate has been consistently dropping. In 2015,2016,2017,2018 it was 1.19,1.14,1.12,1.10 Not sure you can extrapolate
by keanzu 7y ago
The source I provided shows that the growth rate has been consistently dropping. In 2015,2016,2017,2018 it was 1.19,1.14,1.12,1.10
Not sure you can extrapolate out 100 (or 66) years when there's been a 0.11% (1.19 -> 1.08) change in the growth rate in just the last 5 years.
- vfc1 7y agoIt still sounds pretty bad, like doubling the current population or close to that in 100 years. If not 100, make it 150 or 200 it's still not much on historical terms. With modern medicine, modern agriculture and the tendency to reduce warfare around the world, there is no reason to believe the growth will stop, by the contrary.
- keanzu 7y agoI think you've misunderstood the change in growth rate. It has dropped from 1.19% to 1.08% growth in the last five years or down 0.11%. If this trend held in the next five years it would drop to 0.97% growth by 2024 and in ~50 years it would be 0% growth, ie the population would stabilize.
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]