3 ms·
Same. I'm 38, and I've told my 7 year old that I would expect that her grandchildren's generation probably won't need drivers' licenses. I think that period fro
by peckrob 7y ago
Same. I'm 38, and I've told my 7 year old that I would expect that her grandchildren's generation probably won't need drivers' licenses. I think that period from about 20 years from now until then will be a somewhat uncomfortable overlap period where people will still need to know how to drive, but that computers will be doing more and more of the actual day-to-day driving.
The only thing I could see that would shorten the interval is legal approaches. Such as, if the technology proves sufficiently adept, for it to be declared as a mandatory safety feature on par with seatbelts and airbags. But even then there will still be non-autonomous cars on the road (just as there are still cars on the road without seatbelts and airbags) for many, many years. Again, unless you take the extra legal step and ban them from the road.
That doesn't mean it isn't worth doing. Something that we fail at a lot in the modern world is thinking long-term, beyond our own lifetimes. Just because something might not get done during my lifetime doesn't mean that we shouldn't do it, just that others may have to finish the work we started. Ultimately, society will be better for the investment we are making now.