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What do you attribute that to? Pure genius, more access to information, better associates, etc?
by gtirloni 7y ago
What do you attribute that to? Pure genius, more access to information, better associates, etc?
- dsiegel2275 7y agoSurvivorship bias?
- hunter2_ 7y agoIsn't it also a bit self-fulfilling? You imagine what's next, and you steer your company in that direction in order to be ready for it. Doing so (and speaking about it, etc.) contributes heavily to it even happening. If you were wrong, and your company disappears as a result, that contributes to us not analyzing it later.
- Insanity 7y agoHa yeah that was what I was thinking. Probably some survivorship bias in play here.
- Austin_Conlon 7y agoFormative experiences hanging around the fringe - the Aspen Institute, PARC, Homebrew Computer Club, etc.
- omarhaneef 7y agoMy personal view is that it’s not hard to see where things are going, and anyone reasonably smart and informed will have a good sense of where things are generally headed. The hard part of delivering the right trade off between usability, reliability, timeliness, cost with the right team and ecosystem. I mean everyone knew that rich web over mobile would work but did that look like blackberry, iPhone, Android, windows phone etc