3 ms·
Following up here: The reference to 2070 seems to relate to the rate of melting (ablation rate), which was greater than the 2012 melt. The rate of the recent
by tito 7y ago
Following up here:
The reference to 2070 seems to relate to the rate of melting (ablation rate), which was greater than the 2012 melt.
The rate of the recent melt was modeled as the average daily melting rate in 2070 in SSP585:
https://twitter.com/xavierfettweis/status/1156487868950482945 https://twitter.com/xavierfettweis/status/115648786895048294...
Oh so this looks interesting. Here's what SSP585 refers to, it's a hardcore model for 2000 ppm by 2200: https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Relation-of-C4MIP-simulations-to-CMIP6-DECK-and-historical-simulations-and-the-ssp585-and_fig1_306920281 https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Relation-of-C4MIP-simula...
I haven't found the source for linking that to the ablation rate besides the above xavierfettweis tweet tho. But he has a followup tweet in that thread saying it was related to the melting rate overall.