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I like this - and, critically, there really is no reason why free market solutions can’t be creative or innovative. A challenge is that many solutions to probl
by abakker 7y ago
I like this - and, critically, there really is no reason why free market solutions can’t be creative or innovative.
A challenge is that many solutions to problems like unemployment have difficult to quantify primary effects - e.g. actual jobs created - while they have easy to quantify opportunity costs - expected return of investing capital in ETFs, or something.
My point is not the details, or to say that creative solutions can’t return more to the community or country than the financial costs of creative solutions - merely that those in the positions to propose these solutions are frequently unable to adequately model the return.
In another post a few months ago, there was a discussion that the government shouldn’t have to propose an ROI (in the context of building new infrastructure)- but it was pointed out that frequently these projects are financed with debt, and that lenders dictate a return.
If we want to move away from ROI calculations, and worrying about unquantifiable primary effects, a critical component IMO is that we can’t really pay for them with debt.
If you pay with debt, you are beholden to a real, quantifiable cost of capital. If you fund with cash, or equity, it gives you the freedom to pursue preference over return, or theory ahead of evidence. Startup funding works this way for a reason. Creative solutions require freedoms not always afforded by a time-bounded and certain cost of capital.
- pas 7y agoCash or credit. Doesn't matter there's always opportunity/alternative cost. If you have a bag of resources you have to decide what to do with it, and for that usually you need to evaluate a bunch of possibilities. This is the same as ranking them by utility. ROI is just one kind of utility function, but converting everything to said resource-equivalent works pretty well. It's always a nasty burden to decide between hospitals and roads, but it's a neccesity also, because building just hospitals without roads doesn't help much, because ambulances can't get to them. And vice versa. Sure, ROI in itself is a bad metric, and the problem is that developed nations are frequently get caught in an overly simplistic financial modelling situation. Because politically a more complex model is very hard to defend and the simple model gives simple answers, which are usually not optimal. As you said, creative solutions are what's needed, but they are harder to quantify.