4 ms·
Yeah exactly. The Monty Hall problem is about the probability of being correct with your first pick. It doesn’t really have anything to do with "changing probab
by WA 7y ago
Yeah exactly. The Monty Hall problem is about the probability of being correct with your first pick. It doesn’t really have anything to do with "changing probabilities".
- scooble 7y agoAh, that helps. I struggled with this because I didn't see the first choice as relevant to the final outcome. It is easy to see the game as restarted somehow when the 50/50 choice is presented.
- tnorthcutt 7y agoYep, same for me. Even though I understand (and believe!) the explanation of why switching is advantageous, a little voice still says "there's a 50% chance it's in one of the two remaining doors, because there are two doors and one prize!".