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The brilliance of the problem is that you're led to think that the odds have changed. I think there's a psychological component too. So many probability questi
by bhrgunatha 7y ago
The brilliance of the problem is that you're led to think that the odds have changed.
I think there's a psychological component too. So many probability questions are about random events so you (very naturally) take a position that the revealed door is randomly chosen. It is NOT - you always see one of the goats.
- acomjean 7y ago> I think there's a psychological component too. You may be on to something. Perhaps part of it is not wanting to switch from a winning position to a losing one. Thats harder to take so inertia sets in.
- longerthoughts 7y ago>Perhaps part of it is not wanting to switch from a winning position to a losing one This is reminiscent of the endowment effect: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endowment_effect https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endowment_effect