There are plenty of people who keep getting tripped up by this problem even when it's correctly formulated. Statistics and probabilities are sometimes incredibl

There are plenty of people who keep getting tripped up by this problem even when it's correctly formulated. Statistics and probabilities are sometimes incredibly unintuitive and hard for a lot of people. I only took a single class of statistics at university, but my biggest take-away from that class is that you absolutely cannot trust your gut, because the human bias is crazy strong.