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Even if we take your word that you have a zero false positive rate how would you even know what your false negative rate is? I don’t understand why so many see
by bradleyjg 7y ago
Even if we take your word that you have a zero false positive rate how would you even know what your false negative rate is?
I don’t understand why so many seemingly otherwise scientifically minded people swear by anecdotes when it comes to hiring.
- tmn 7y agoWhat does false negative matter for? As you said, you cannot know it, so why bring it up as a missing metric? What matters is if they hired for their demand, and their hires met or exceeded expectations
- bradleyjg 7y agoWe cannot know it by anecdote. We can know it using a well designed longitudinal study. Why settle for the former? Why do so many proudly refuse to read the literature? The only other thing I can compare to the anti-intellectualism around hiring is a similar phenomenon around nutrition and dieting.
- tmn 7y agoI mean, I think you're planting your flag in some intellectual what aboutism. The confidence in the strategy of the process here is only as anti-intellectual as it is simultaneously conducive to that actual work trying to be accomplished. Say a man marries a high caliber lady. Beautiful, smart, great personality. If he says, 'I did great here'. Does anyone say to him, 'Well what was your false negative rate?'. I guess you might
- malvosenior 7y agoAs a manager my goal is to hire the team I need to accomplish the tasks we have to deliver. This method has worked really well for me. It also means my relationship with my direct reports starts out based on trust, which has also worked out great for me as I often re-hire people from old teams when I move to a new company.