3 ms·
Imo if a statement about the future doesn't contain word "probably" - it is probably wrong.
by viach 7y ago
Imo if a statement about the future doesn't contain word "probably" - it is probably wrong.
- AznHisoka 7y agoprobably.. suppose... it seems to me.. I hate it when people try and hedge their opinions.
- viach 7y agoYou are right. I could re-phrase my comment - all statements about the future which don't contain notion of probability are pure gambling.
- AznHisoka 7y agoI totally agree. except "probably" contains a weak notion of probability . What does probably mean? 51% likely? 55% likely? 90% likely? If you're going to attach a probability to an opinion, use "most likely", or "almost certainly", or "unlikely". That to me, isn't hedging an opinion. That's attaching a real probability to the outcome.
- alecbenzer 7y agoWhy? Hedging is fine. I think it's important to accurately communicate how certain you are of a thing. Constant hedging is annoying, but so is stating everything as if it's a fact, despite how sure you really are. Communicating confidence is useful.
- AznHisoka 7y agoI totally agree. My beef was with people using vague words like "probably". What does probably mean? 51% likely? 55% likely? 90% likely? It contains no sense of probability, that can be agreed upon. If you're going to attach a probability to an opinion, use "most likely", or "almost certainly", or "unlikely".
- tuesdayrain 7y agoI hate when people make no effort to hedge their opinions. It comes off as lacking nuance.
- andrewstuart 7y agoPossibly?