2 ms·
This is again a misleading response. If these are uncertainty ranges, it should be statistically absurd for reality to always end up at the extreme low end of
by ltbarcly3 7y ago
This is again a misleading response. If these are uncertainty ranges, it should be statistically absurd for reality to always end up at the extreme low end of the predicted range.
How many times does that have to happen before you would have to say the prediction isn't a good one?
- NeedMoreTea 7y agoIPCC reports are inherently conservative - they reflect the known and agreed. It's not surprising that reality tends worse as additional effects, tipping points and surprises are reflected in reality but not IPCC reports. There has been criticism that they are too conservative.
- ltbarcly3 7y agoHave they ever, ever made a prediction that didn't over estimate the subsequent measured values of temperature or sea level rise?