7 ms·

Lessons from the first fully automated hotel

50 points by hos234 7y ago

aaron695 7y ago
> Lessons from the first fully automated hotel Much as I love Altered Carbon, it was a robot hotel. Which we know given current tech will take more people at higher prices than a normal hotel. There's a meme Japan is technologically advanced, perhaps it once was true which is still debatable, but now the USA is far ahead. Japan does way more things by hand that the USA has automated.
OnlineGladiator 7y ago
Everybody thinks robots are inevitable until they meet the robots that are supposedly inevitable. There's a fun joke template for robotics. "How many PhD's does it take to do <generic task>?" So now instead of one untrained person doing the dishes, you have 5 PhD students hovering around a robot as it spends 8 hours poorly cleaning one.
- ggggtez 7y ago
  So, to summarize your post "Everything that didn't exist when I was born will never exist".
  - OnlineGladiator 7y ago
    My point is robots aren't nearly as advanced as people think.
    - tempguy9999 7y ago
      I acknowledge your point but somewhat relatedly, my washing machine is just as advanced as it needs to be.
      - OnlineGladiator 7y ago
        That just brings up another classic robotics joke. A robot is anything that doesn't work well, yet. Once it works, you give it a new name - like dishwasher.
        tempguy9999 7y ago
        Exactly!
        OnlineGladiator 7y ago
        What most people think of when they think of robots though are machines that can adapt to their environments - usually humanoid, but definitely dynamic. Dishwashers and washing machines are essentially mechatronic, and while they have sensors to adjust for varying loads they aren't really reactive like people expect from a "robot." The only thing that really fits the descriptions is the robot vacuum cleaner, because it will work in an environment designed for humans (sort of, they're known to work in limited use cases). The Boston Dynamics Spot robot would also be considered a robot, but it's obviously too expensive for consumers and I suspect it will struggle due to limited usability. Humanoid robots are still completely within the realm of R&D and not really commercializable yet. So what I mean when I say robot, is a machine that can adapt to a human-oriented environment and fulfill a task with some level of competence that people don't consider it useless. And right now we basically have vacuums, and are a long, long way away from getting much more.
        deleted 7y ago
        [deleted]
        TulliusCicero 7y ago
        Ditto with AI. Recognizing types of objects in images was AI until computers could do it. Playing chess well was AI until computers could do it.
      - bluGill 7y ago
        My washing machine just washes. I need it to collect, sort by color, wash, dry, fold/hang and put away the laundry too. It does one of those well.
- sudosteph 7y ago
  Aren't dishwashers (and washer/dryers) the perfect example of automation that actually got widely adopted though? I'm sure those machines took a ton of R&D back in the day, but now they are ubiquitous because of how much effort they save. The question is not one of how many phds you have to pay to see if it's possible to make something automated - it's whether the automation solves more pain than it creates, how big the demand is, and whether production of it can actually scale at profit. If it does, the research investment can be well worth it.
  - 9nGQluzmnq3M 7y ago
    Yes, but they're single purpose machines optimized for exactly one thing. Humanoid mobile robots continue to suck in large part because they have to do many things, and are thus not particularly good at any of them.
- Aozi 7y ago
  >"How many PhD's does it take to do <generic task>?" So now instead of one untrained person doing the dishes, you have 5 PhD students hovering around a robot as it spends 8 hours poorly cleaning one. Yeah, and then it spends 8 hours cleaning another, and soon it'll be spending 5 hours cleaning two, 2 hours cleaning a dozen, and it'll keep going down, and those 5 PhD's will keep improving the robot, more and more. And it doesn't even need to be faster than us, because that one robot can keep washing dishes 24/7, with no rest and no pay. And eventually it'll catch up to us in speed and precision, and it'll keep getting better and surpass us. And then, once you have a single good robot. You can simply replicate it, again and again, mass producing thousands of them and they will all keep working 24/7 with no rest and no pay. Yeah, we're not there yet for most jobs, but we're getting there. It's gonna take a while but it will without a doubt happen
  - noonespecial 7y ago
    It will then no longer be referred to as a "robot" or "AI", will look nothing at all like how it started (probably just a big box), and people will call it "the dishwasher" as they wonder why AI and Robots are always 10 years away.
    - quaquaqua1 7y ago
      Yes, but at a certain point you will have automated away most of the labor that needs doing.
  - OnlineGladiator 7y ago
    > It's gonna take a while but it will without a doubt happen Vehemently disagree. The assumption that technology will continue to improve to be useful for everything is inherently flawed. We don't know what the hard limits are yet, but nobody understood the limitations of the Carnot cycle for energy efficiencies once upon a time (the ICE will get better and better until no efficiency is lost) or limitations of transmission lines (until transmission line theory was established that dictates 50% is the best theoretical outcome, people thought you could approach 100%). We'll discover some algorithms will never be O(n) but the best theoretical solution is O(n^2). I don't know where the barriers are or what they are, but it's naïve to assume not only that we will solve everything, but even that it's theoretically possible that we can solve everything. The obvious generic barrier right now for robotics is AI, but that's a complex subject and could mean many different things to many different people.
- petra 7y ago
  Yes, robot technology is improving nicely. But many problems don't really need "robots". Often something far simpler will suffice. For example, a "smart" moving base may replace waiters(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1cjhxEhq9Q https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1cjhxEhq9Q) . i suspect this could have been built a decade ago. But something has changed, and we'll probably see many more such solutions.
  - Cthulhu_ 7y ago
    But that's not actually simpler; there's two more solutions to whatever problem that thing is trying to solve: Self-service / buffet style restaurants, or the little conveyor belts with continuous dishes you see in Japan. The complexity comes when you try and retain an existing workflow by a robot. You see this same thing when it comes to package delivery or warehouses, where they try to replace a human with a robot instead of redesigning the whole process as robot-first (this mainly aimed at warehouses btw)
    - tempguy9999 7y ago
      On the nail. Automation is a tool not a solution, and like any tool its best use depends on context - including not to use that tool at all. Thanks for the reminder.
- adrianN 7y ago
  "How many workers does it need to assemble a car" has gone down a lot due to robotics.
  - bluGill 7y ago
    None of those robots look like a human though. The CNC metal cutter is a large box. The welder is an extra arm with a lot more joints than a human (or sometimes a track).
- antisemiotic 7y ago
  Yeah, but the cleaner would need to earn at least minimum wage, while grad student will happily do it for free if it helps them with their PhDs. Might even thow in some perks for good behavior, like exemption from didactic work next year.
- abawany 7y ago
  I have met the Walmart order pickup robot (the so-called Pickup Tower [1]) - it has convinced me that well-designed robots are inevitable. In general, it has made package pickup a pleasure for me though I admit that in the early days, it required some employee assistance. I have picked up many tens of packages from this facility at my local-ish Walmart and it has been wonderful. By comparison, the previous manned package pickup scheme was almost always a nasty experience: non-working 'buzzers', long waits, 8pm close up times, and other unnecessary nonsense. I used to dread picking up an order at Walmart before the Pickup Tower became available and now go out of my way to go to a Walmart with this pickup tower vs. going to a closer location with the ring-and-wait-around-like-a-flipping-fool package pickup service. [1] https://corporate.walmart.com/newsroom/innovation/20180405/hundreds-more-high-tech-pickup-towers-are-headed-your-way https://corporate.walmart.com/newsroom/innovation/20180405/h...
  - OnlineGladiator 7y ago
    I have not been, but how is this different from lockers with electronic locks? I don't consider that anything resembling a robot.
    - abawany 7y ago
      There are two aspects to the pickup tower: 1) Entering/scanning an order number causes the robot to fetch the packages (plural) in question and deliver to an area for the recipient to pickup. This has the effector/sensors that you mention above. 2) Entering/scanning an order number causes the robot to tell the recipient to go to a given locker and it also pops open said locker. When the recipient picks up the packages from the locker and closes the same, the main screen acknowledges the pickup. If I appear to be gushing, it is because I am darned impressed by this thing. I am not kidding when I say that it works very well. I found a video that hopefully demonstrates the technology better than my stilted write-up above: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71pgd-LzzXc https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71pgd-LzzXc .
      - OnlineGladiator 7y ago
lnsru 7y ago
So if the hotel was opened 2015, the these robots were developed 2013-2014 and are now at least half decade old technology. GTX 780 Ti was state-of-the-art NVIDIA’s card back then. Now we have whole Jetson palette, really powerful raspberry pi 4 plus many not that easily accessible parts. Let’s see what robots will be showcased 5 years from now.
- acoye 7y ago
  I am not convinced the limiting factor is the computing power on device or the price of computing. I would rather bet on current "AI" not been good at general purpose tasks. Coherent thinking and creativity (AGI) is way above and away from the neural nets we got now. And I'd argue that's what needed to make robots super helpful with random human tasks.
  - alexgmcm 7y ago
    I think full warehouse automation e.g. Amazon will be the next one to go. As it requires a large amount of labour so there is a lot of possible savings and consists of repetitive tasks in a controlled environment. It would also be better PR to have robots than workers in bad conditions (stories about workers urinating in bottles etc. have made headlines in the UK).
    - deadbunny 7y ago
      Not quite amazon scale but we already highly automated warehouses in the UK with Ocado. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJqsdprXF5c https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJqsdprXF5c https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4DKrcpa8Z_E https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4DKrcpa8Z_E
      - lnsru 7y ago
        Do robots pick goods from the crates there? Or just the boxes go delivered to picking stations where humans work? It wasn’t clear from the video.
solatic 7y ago
Regarding room service, I wonder if room service wouldn't be better served by some kind of dumbwaiter system powered by a Willy Wonka-style elevator. A kitchen prepares food, puts it in the dumbwaiter-sized standardized container (like a shipping container), puts the container into a delivery system (with the destination room button-pressed in) where it is magnetically propelled within the walls to it's destination, where it is retrieved by opening a shutter in the wall. It doesn't have to just be room service, I could see it as part of a modern apartment building as well for deliveries. I imagine that the main barriers are maintenance - opening up the walls in case of blockages etc. But maybe the correct design could account for that somehow.
- Cthulhu_ 7y ago
  A food elevator in every room would already go a long way; you'd have to include something like an airlock though to avoid abuse / accidents (e.g. people climbing into them). For smaller and sturdier items the old pneumatic air tube system or a variation thereof could work.
- ghaff 7y ago
  Room service falls pretty squarely into the category of things hotels can (and many do) simply drop if they want to simplify. I travel a lot and I don't think I've gotten room service in at least a couple of decades. A lot of the robotic stuff is mostly silly in any case. I sometimes stay at the Yotel in NYC which has a robot gadget to store luggage. It's amusing theater but usually you just give your luggage to a person because the robot is so slow (and space inefficient so it runs out of lockers).
- bluGill 7y ago
  The problem is space. To put your elevator in the wall you need the wider wall -- less space for guests when the elevator isn't in use. You probably also need something between the floor joists which may or may not be empty of beams. Noise of the mechanism is also concerning, and safety (see other reply) are also issues. The loss of floor space is the big one.
- empath75 7y ago
  It’d be fine in a bed and breakfast but seems like it wouldn’t scale.
michaelbuckbee 7y ago
A robot's utility is inversely proportional to how much it looks like a robot.
nmstoker 7y ago
For the non-physical bots, it would've made sense to have them "shadow" a human until they were equally or more capable and only then roll out a hotel with them taking the helm. Things like reception desk Q&A could easily be integrated discretely, with the human employee getting help from the bot and overriding when it falls short. There is already a fair amount of automation for tasks like self check in at large economy hotel chains in the UK - and you can see how well it goes down with customers from the queues (which tend to favour waiting for the human assistants except at busy times)
tabtab 7y ago
Cue the tune "Hotel California". There's a great miniseries in the idea with a taste of West World to it.

50 points by hos234 7y ago

> Lessons from the first fully automated hotel Much as I love Altered Carbon, it was a robot hotel. Which we know given current tech will take more people at higher prices than a normal hotel. There's a meme Japan is technologically advanced, perhaps it once was true which is still debatable, but now the USA is far ahead. Japan does way more things by hand that the USA has automated.

OnlineGladiator 7y ago

Everybody thinks robots are inevitable until they meet the robots that are supposedly inevitable. There's a fun joke template for robotics. "How many PhD's does it take to do <generic task>?" So now instead of one untrained person doing the dishes, you have 5 PhD students hovering around a robot as it spends 8 hours poorly cleaning one.

ggggtez 7y ago
So, to summarize your post "Everything that didn't exist when I was born will never exist".
- OnlineGladiator 7y ago
  My point is robots aren't nearly as advanced as people think.
  - tempguy9999 7y ago
    I acknowledge your point but somewhat relatedly, my washing machine is just as advanced as it needs to be.
    - OnlineGladiator 7y ago
      That just brings up another classic robotics joke. A robot is anything that doesn't work well, yet. Once it works, you give it a new name - like dishwasher.
      - tempguy9999 7y ago
        Exactly!
        OnlineGladiator 7y ago
        What most people think of when they think of robots though are machines that can adapt to their environments - usually humanoid, but definitely dynamic. Dishwashers and washing machines are essentially mechatronic, and while they have sensors to adjust for varying loads they aren't really reactive like people expect from a "robot." The only thing that really fits the descriptions is the robot vacuum cleaner, because it will work in an environment designed for humans (sort of, they're known to work in limited use cases). The Boston Dynamics Spot robot would also be considered a robot, but it's obviously too expensive for consumers and I suspect it will struggle due to limited usability. Humanoid robots are still completely within the realm of R&D and not really commercializable yet. So what I mean when I say robot, is a machine that can adapt to a human-oriented environment and fulfill a task with some level of competence that people don't consider it useless. And right now we basically have vacuums, and are a long, long way away from getting much more.
      - deleted 7y ago
        [deleted]
      - TulliusCicero 7y ago
        Ditto with AI. Recognizing types of objects in images was AI until computers could do it. Playing chess well was AI until computers could do it.
    - bluGill 7y ago
      My washing machine just washes. I need it to collect, sort by color, wash, dry, fold/hang and put away the laundry too. It does one of those well.
sudosteph 7y ago
Aren't dishwashers (and washer/dryers) the perfect example of automation that actually got widely adopted though? I'm sure those machines took a ton of R&D back in the day, but now they are ubiquitous because of how much effort they save. The question is not one of how many phds you have to pay to see if it's possible to make something automated - it's whether the automation solves more pain than it creates, how big the demand is, and whether production of it can actually scale at profit. If it does, the research investment can be well worth it.
- 9nGQluzmnq3M 7y ago
  Yes, but they're single purpose machines optimized for exactly one thing. Humanoid mobile robots continue to suck in large part because they have to do many things, and are thus not particularly good at any of them.
Aozi 7y ago
>"How many PhD's does it take to do <generic task>?" So now instead of one untrained person doing the dishes, you have 5 PhD students hovering around a robot as it spends 8 hours poorly cleaning one. Yeah, and then it spends 8 hours cleaning another, and soon it'll be spending 5 hours cleaning two, 2 hours cleaning a dozen, and it'll keep going down, and those 5 PhD's will keep improving the robot, more and more. And it doesn't even need to be faster than us, because that one robot can keep washing dishes 24/7, with no rest and no pay. And eventually it'll catch up to us in speed and precision, and it'll keep getting better and surpass us. And then, once you have a single good robot. You can simply replicate it, again and again, mass producing thousands of them and they will all keep working 24/7 with no rest and no pay. Yeah, we're not there yet for most jobs, but we're getting there. It's gonna take a while but it will without a doubt happen
- noonespecial 7y ago
  It will then no longer be referred to as a "robot" or "AI", will look nothing at all like how it started (probably just a big box), and people will call it "the dishwasher" as they wonder why AI and Robots are always 10 years away.
  - quaquaqua1 7y ago
    Yes, but at a certain point you will have automated away most of the labor that needs doing.
- OnlineGladiator 7y ago
  > It's gonna take a while but it will without a doubt happen Vehemently disagree. The assumption that technology will continue to improve to be useful for everything is inherently flawed. We don't know what the hard limits are yet, but nobody understood the limitations of the Carnot cycle for energy efficiencies once upon a time (the ICE will get better and better until no efficiency is lost) or limitations of transmission lines (until transmission line theory was established that dictates 50% is the best theoretical outcome, people thought you could approach 100%). We'll discover some algorithms will never be O(n) but the best theoretical solution is O(n^2). I don't know where the barriers are or what they are, but it's naïve to assume not only that we will solve everything, but even that it's theoretically possible that we can solve everything. The obvious generic barrier right now for robotics is AI, but that's a complex subject and could mean many different things to many different people.
petra 7y ago
Yes, robot technology is improving nicely. But many problems don't really need "robots". Often something far simpler will suffice. For example, a "smart" moving base may replace waiters(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1cjhxEhq9Q https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1cjhxEhq9Q) . i suspect this could have been built a decade ago. But something has changed, and we'll probably see many more such solutions.
- Cthulhu_ 7y ago
  But that's not actually simpler; there's two more solutions to whatever problem that thing is trying to solve: Self-service / buffet style restaurants, or the little conveyor belts with continuous dishes you see in Japan. The complexity comes when you try and retain an existing workflow by a robot. You see this same thing when it comes to package delivery or warehouses, where they try to replace a human with a robot instead of redesigning the whole process as robot-first (this mainly aimed at warehouses btw)
  - tempguy9999 7y ago
    On the nail. Automation is a tool not a solution, and like any tool its best use depends on context - including not to use that tool at all. Thanks for the reminder.
adrianN 7y ago
"How many workers does it need to assemble a car" has gone down a lot due to robotics.
- bluGill 7y ago
  None of those robots look like a human though. The CNC metal cutter is a large box. The welder is an extra arm with a lot more joints than a human (or sometimes a track).
antisemiotic 7y ago
Yeah, but the cleaner would need to earn at least minimum wage, while grad student will happily do it for free if it helps them with their PhDs. Might even thow in some perks for good behavior, like exemption from didactic work next year.
abawany 7y ago
I have met the Walmart order pickup robot (the so-called Pickup Tower [1]) - it has convinced me that well-designed robots are inevitable. In general, it has made package pickup a pleasure for me though I admit that in the early days, it required some employee assistance. I have picked up many tens of packages from this facility at my local-ish Walmart and it has been wonderful. By comparison, the previous manned package pickup scheme was almost always a nasty experience: non-working 'buzzers', long waits, 8pm close up times, and other unnecessary nonsense. I used to dread picking up an order at Walmart before the Pickup Tower became available and now go out of my way to go to a Walmart with this pickup tower vs. going to a closer location with the ring-and-wait-around-like-a-flipping-fool package pickup service. [1] https://corporate.walmart.com/newsroom/innovation/20180405/hundreds-more-high-tech-pickup-towers-are-headed-your-way https://corporate.walmart.com/newsroom/innovation/20180405/h...
- OnlineGladiator 7y ago
  I have not been, but how is this different from lockers with electronic locks? I don't consider that anything resembling a robot.
  - abawany 7y ago
    There are two aspects to the pickup tower: 1) Entering/scanning an order number causes the robot to fetch the packages (plural) in question and deliver to an area for the recipient to pickup. This has the effector/sensors that you mention above. 2) Entering/scanning an order number causes the robot to tell the recipient to go to a given locker and it also pops open said locker. When the recipient picks up the packages from the locker and closes the same, the main screen acknowledges the pickup. If I appear to be gushing, it is because I am darned impressed by this thing. I am not kidding when I say that it works very well. I found a video that hopefully demonstrates the technology better than my stilted write-up above: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71pgd-LzzXc https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71pgd-LzzXc .
    - OnlineGladiator 7y ago

lnsru 7y ago

So if the hotel was opened 2015, the these robots were developed 2013-2014 and are now at least half decade old technology. GTX 780 Ti was state-of-the-art NVIDIA’s card back then. Now we have whole Jetson palette, really powerful raspberry pi 4 plus many not that easily accessible parts. Let’s see what robots will be showcased 5 years from now.

acoye 7y ago
I am not convinced the limiting factor is the computing power on device or the price of computing. I would rather bet on current "AI" not been good at general purpose tasks. Coherent thinking and creativity (AGI) is way above and away from the neural nets we got now. And I'd argue that's what needed to make robots super helpful with random human tasks.
- alexgmcm 7y ago
  I think full warehouse automation e.g. Amazon will be the next one to go. As it requires a large amount of labour so there is a lot of possible savings and consists of repetitive tasks in a controlled environment. It would also be better PR to have robots than workers in bad conditions (stories about workers urinating in bottles etc. have made headlines in the UK).
  - deadbunny 7y ago
    Not quite amazon scale but we already highly automated warehouses in the UK with Ocado. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJqsdprXF5c https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJqsdprXF5c https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4DKrcpa8Z_E https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4DKrcpa8Z_E
    - lnsru 7y ago
      Do robots pick goods from the crates there? Or just the boxes go delivered to picking stations where humans work? It wasn’t clear from the video.

solatic 7y ago

Regarding room service, I wonder if room service wouldn't be better served by some kind of dumbwaiter system powered by a Willy Wonka-style elevator. A kitchen prepares food, puts it in the dumbwaiter-sized standardized container (like a shipping container), puts the container into a delivery system (with the destination room button-pressed in) where it is magnetically propelled within the walls to it's destination, where it is retrieved by opening a shutter in the wall. It doesn't have to just be room service, I could see it as part of a modern apartment building as well for deliveries. I imagine that the main barriers are maintenance - opening up the walls in case of blockages etc. But maybe the correct design could account for that somehow.

Cthulhu_ 7y ago
A food elevator in every room would already go a long way; you'd have to include something like an airlock though to avoid abuse / accidents (e.g. people climbing into them). For smaller and sturdier items the old pneumatic air tube system or a variation thereof could work.
ghaff 7y ago
Room service falls pretty squarely into the category of things hotels can (and many do) simply drop if they want to simplify. I travel a lot and I don't think I've gotten room service in at least a couple of decades. A lot of the robotic stuff is mostly silly in any case. I sometimes stay at the Yotel in NYC which has a robot gadget to store luggage. It's amusing theater but usually you just give your luggage to a person because the robot is so slow (and space inefficient so it runs out of lockers).
bluGill 7y ago
The problem is space. To put your elevator in the wall you need the wider wall -- less space for guests when the elevator isn't in use. You probably also need something between the floor joists which may or may not be empty of beams. Noise of the mechanism is also concerning, and safety (see other reply) are also issues. The loss of floor space is the big one.
empath75 7y ago
It’d be fine in a bed and breakfast but seems like it wouldn’t scale.

michaelbuckbee 7y ago

A robot's utility is inversely proportional to how much it looks like a robot.

nmstoker 7y ago

For the non-physical bots, it would've made sense to have them "shadow" a human until they were equally or more capable and only then roll out a hotel with them taking the helm. Things like reception desk Q&A could easily be integrated discretely, with the human employee getting help from the bot and overriding when it falls short. There is already a fair amount of automation for tasks like self check in at large economy hotel chains in the UK - and you can see how well it goes down with customers from the queues (which tend to favour waiting for the human assistants except at busy times)

tabtab 7y ago

Cue the tune "Hotel California". There's a great miniseries in the idea with a taste of West World to it.