3 ms·
I get what you're saying but this post isn't about a fault experiencing a catastrophic event, but cascading events. If this fault rips it could trigger an event
by unlinked_dll 7y ago
I get what you're saying but this post isn't about a fault experiencing a catastrophic event, but cascading events. If this fault rips it could trigger an event on another fault.
Now I'm no geologist, but I question why the order the authors listed possible sites as this:
>A large quake on the Garlock fault has the potential to send strong shaking to the San Fernando Valley, Santa Clarita, Lancaster, Palmdale, Ventura, Oxnard, Bakersfield and Kern Count
Which seems to be influenced by the population of those areas and not the geographic distance from the Garlock fault itself. All the propabalistic models I've seen for "the Big One" have the waves that reach the SF Valley (which has iirc 2 million people) originating from the southwest from a major quake on the San Andreas fault, not a ripple effect from the northeast.
- lazyasciiart 7y agoThat paragraph is literally about the impact on society that it would cause. Yes, they are listing metropolitan areas. And yes, all the models you've seen before moooooost likely did not take into account activity from Garlock that had literally never been seen. That should not be a surprise.