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Also, ~90ish of those 100 successful ones have come from batches pre 2014, so there is that… ;-)

• soneca 7y ago
  If you define "success" as market valuation, assume that market valuation grows with time for successful companies and YC select companies with a bias for companies that are not successful yet... The fact that most successful companies come from older batches is just a description of their business model right?
  • marvindanig 7y ago
    Fair point! I'm sure there will be some run off successes among the current crop as well, but so far, my sensibilities tell me that there has been a drop in quality—and in general the appetite for risk taking within the YC has gone down substantially. Without the data of course it is hard to tell with 100% confidence.
    • soneca 7y ago
      My sensibilities are very different from yours. I see some crazy risk biotech getting selected, not mention some crypto stuff that a lot of people claims to have near zero value. Even the regular software ones seems as risky as always. My impression is: same quality, same risk level, more companies.
• tnolet 7y ago
  Yeah, growing a business takes time.