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I think a lot of people are surprised when they start using a prediction market or prediction registry and track all their predictions, not just the ones they r
by gwern 7y ago
I think a lot of people are surprised when they start using a prediction market or prediction registry and track all their predictions, not just the ones they remember decades later. (I thought Google was a good investment in 2005 too. I thought a lot of things back then, but I don't remember what else I thought.)