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The Conservatives would at the very least lose a sizable chunk of their seats to Farage's Brexit Party. But Boris is a bit out of options here. As you said, he

The Conservatives would at the very least lose a sizable chunk of their seats to Farage's Brexit Party. But Boris is a bit out of options here. As you said, he already lost the majority so the only thing keeping him in power right now is that the opposition didn't yet vote on removing him. What's more: he is not May. He might actually come out of an election successfully in that he can keep being the PM, forming a coalition with the Brexit Party that keeps him in power. While his own party would still have lost lots of seats and lots of goodwill for going in bed with the Brexit Party. But he won't mind, it's Boris First, Party distant second, Country somewhere behind that as a third.

Freak_NL 7y ago
With first-past-the-post, the Brexit Party doesn't have much chance of gaining more than a few seats, just like UKIP. The EU parliamentary election does not do first-past-the-post, so they could gain a number of seats proportional to the number of votes received there.
- rndgermandude 7y ago
  I wouldn't be too sure about it. Sure, they will not be able to repeat the results of the last EU election (where they came out on top) at home in the UK, but they still might get gain enough seats to become a player and even a "king maker". After all, we live in a time where every poll said Remain will win, and every pollster said Trump had essentially no chance of winning. But you're right, First Past the Post voting can pose a major obstacle for them and probably will pose a major obstacle for them in the next election even if it happens sooner than later. Like in 2015 when they had a popular vote share of 12.6% but got had one seat (or 0.2% of seats)
  - gpderetta 7y ago
    I despise the UKIP as much as any one else, but I think it is a major indictment of the voting system that a party, any party, with more than 10% of the electoral vote has near to no representation in parliament.
- OscarCunningham 7y ago
  Right. They wouldn't lose seats to the Brexit party; they would lose seats due to the Brexit party (to the LibDems and Labour).

Freak_NL 7y ago

With first-past-the-post, the Brexit Party doesn't have much chance of gaining more than a few seats, just like UKIP. The EU parliamentary election does not do first-past-the-post, so they could gain a number of seats proportional to the number of votes received there.

rndgermandude 7y ago
I wouldn't be too sure about it. Sure, they will not be able to repeat the results of the last EU election (where they came out on top) at home in the UK, but they still might get gain enough seats to become a player and even a "king maker". After all, we live in a time where every poll said Remain will win, and every pollster said Trump had essentially no chance of winning. But you're right, First Past the Post voting can pose a major obstacle for them and probably will pose a major obstacle for them in the next election even if it happens sooner than later. Like in 2015 when they had a popular vote share of 12.6% but got had one seat (or 0.2% of seats)
- gpderetta 7y ago
  I despise the UKIP as much as any one else, but I think it is a major indictment of the voting system that a party, any party, with more than 10% of the electoral vote has near to no representation in parliament.
OscarCunningham 7y ago
Right. They wouldn't lose seats to the Brexit party; they would lose seats due to the Brexit party (to the LibDems and Labour).