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Did you write down all your bets? Not just the winners, but also the losers? This is a bias that a lot of investors often make ...
by jeffshek 7y ago
Did you write down all your bets? Not just the winners, but also the losers?
This is a bias that a lot of investors often make ...
- gwern 7y agoI think a lot of people are surprised when they start using a prediction market or prediction registry and track all their predictions, not just the ones they remember decades later. (I thought Google was a good investment in 2005 too. I thought a lot of things back then, but I don't remember what else I thought.)
- simonebrunozzi 7y agoThat's true, and it's partially my bias as well, of course.