It's kinda hard to get those statistics, as new cars havent been driven that long, yet! But you can probably get a good estimate from extrapolating the red cur

It's kinda hard to get those statistics, as new cars havent been driven that long, yet! But you can probably get a good estimate from extrapolating the red curve in this plot using a power law: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in_U.S._by_year#/media/File%3AUS_traffic_deaths_per_VMT%2C_VMT%2C_per_capita%2C_and_total_annual_deaths.png https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in... Also you can look at the safest countries worldwide, compared to the US, to get a feel for what's achievable with today's tech. Looks like Norway is the safest, with 4x better safety statistics than the US. That's probably a combination of better drivers education and safer vehicles, so not straight forward to compare. So really, you would need something like a 50x improvement over current US rates for it to be a notable achievement. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-related_death_rate https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-r...