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Interesting. Do you have statistics for more modern cars only that are comparable to a Tesla (without the Autopilot features obviously)? PS: I meant 100 millio
by shafyy 7y ago
Interesting. Do you have statistics for more modern cars only that are comparable to a Tesla (without the Autopilot features obviously)?
PS: I meant 100 million miles in my comment above as you probably assumed :-)
- semi-extrinsic 7y agoIt's kinda hard to get those statistics, as new cars havent been driven that long, yet! But you can probably get a good estimate from extrapolating the red curve in this plot using a power law: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in_U.S._by_year#/media/File%3AUS_traffic_deaths_per_VMT%2C_VMT%2C_per_capita%2C_and_total_annual_deaths.png https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in... Also you can look at the safest countries worldwide, compared to the US, to get a feel for what's achievable with today's tech. Looks like Norway is the safest, with 4x better safety statistics than the US. That's probably a combination of better drivers education and safer vehicles, so not straight forward to compare. So really, you would need something like a 50x improvement over current US rates for it to be a notable achievement. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-related_death_rate https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-r...