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A genuine difference of opinion presents itself as trolling. Consider an idea you probably have not heard before. I come from a blue collar background and wen

A genuine difference of opinion presents itself as trolling. Consider an idea you probably have not heard before. I come from a blue collar background and went to university to study computer science. I came to the conclusion that Moravec's Paradox means wages must decline for people who process information for a living. The western education system has been against tacit knowledge for political and social reasons - this adds a multiplier to MP. Society has been rolling with the assumption most working class would join the middle class and information-work led to higher wages. If this is not true then the wages for blue collar can rise over white collar. To a middle class person this is not one of the possible options. I can be wrong - but the consequences of this opinion are not acceptable - they will not be factored into the model. I present this as controversial but this happened once before in the industrial revolution for a smaller group - middle class used to have servants. If you are the 21st century's example of a Farmer this idea might bother you.

goatinaboat 7y ago
I present this as controversial I don’t consider that controversial at all - I have always believed there will still be plumbers and hairdressers long after the last accountant has been automated away. And those jobs are safe from offshoring too. I wouldn’t advise any young person today to go into “knowledge work”. Lawyers and doctors were smart enough to protect themselves with regulators. But programmers say “hey, anyone can program, it’s easy!”
- banmeagaindan2 7y ago
  I agree but we are breathing rarefied air - the middle class has been pouring its children into the universities for decades - they have bought into the belief information work is more valuable than - as they like to describe it - "digging ditches". The middle class is correct that information work is valuable and wrong that it has a high future price. Growing food was and is valuable. I have fun imagining what happens if everybody found out about MP at the same time. Real trends are slow but the social world could overreact. Will the herds of goats - former lawnmowers - take over the buildings at Google and Apple? Who will write the book of Exodus when the students flee the universities? Headline: Was Ted Right? Do Mark Zuckerberg and Larry Page escape the Seal Teams from the NeoFeudalist government? One of us must write this post-apocalyptic novel - and you have experience with goats - a future lifeskill.

goatinaboat 7y ago

I present this as controversial I don’t consider that controversial at all - I have always believed there will still be plumbers and hairdressers long after the last accountant has been automated away. And those jobs are safe from offshoring too. I wouldn’t advise any young person today to go into “knowledge work”. Lawyers and doctors were smart enough to protect themselves with regulators. But programmers say “hey, anyone can program, it’s easy!”

banmeagaindan2 7y ago
I agree but we are breathing rarefied air - the middle class has been pouring its children into the universities for decades - they have bought into the belief information work is more valuable than - as they like to describe it - "digging ditches". The middle class is correct that information work is valuable and wrong that it has a high future price. Growing food was and is valuable. I have fun imagining what happens if everybody found out about MP at the same time. Real trends are slow but the social world could overreact. Will the herds of goats - former lawnmowers - take over the buildings at Google and Apple? Who will write the book of Exodus when the students flee the universities? Headline: Was Ted Right? Do Mark Zuckerberg and Larry Page escape the Seal Teams from the NeoFeudalist government? One of us must write this post-apocalyptic novel - and you have experience with goats - a future lifeskill.