Well, if there were a million bloggers posting random predictions and only one analyst, it would seem, intuitively, that the top nine would likely all be blogge

Well, if there were a million bloggers posting random predictions and only one analyst, it would seem, intuitively, that the top nine would likely all be bloggers. It all depends on the number of bloggers that made predictions but aren't in your list. Is it zero? A trillion? Given that most bloggers tend to advertise their successes but not their failures, how can you get a definitive number?