It is also stupendously implausible that our civilization arrives at all in a mere 14 billion years, considered against the gazillions of years in the potential

It is also stupendously implausible that our civilization arrives at all in a mere 14 billion years, considered against the gazillions of years in the potentially infinite lifespan of the Universe. Yet here we are. If it is difficult for civilizations to develop, then our existence is so implausible already that being the first is not such a leap.