3 ms·

I believe that if everyone was answering honestly, then you are mistaken. If someone did not want coffee then they could/would answer "no", since it would not

I believe that if everyone was answering honestly, then you are mistaken. If someone did not want coffee then they could/would answer "no", since it would not be the case that everyone wanted coffee. Therefore if no one answered "no", then everyone who has answered so far must want coffee. Assuming the last person also wants coffee, they can answer "Yes" with confidence. Assuming you disagree, can you explain why?

jcr 16y ago
That is a great way to look at it, but also, the person who asked never answered, hence it's an assumption. I don't mean to be nit-picky but it further supports the point of your article. Thanks for posting it.
- RiderOfGiraffes 16y ago
  My thinking is that if the person who asked didn't want coffee then the question wouldn't have to be asked, because they would have known the answer should be "No". Hence I think it's safe to assume that the person asking, also wanted coffee. Perhaps they should've asked "Does everyone else want coffee?" Even so, yes, it helps to make the point. > Thanks for posting it. You're welcome. I wish more people liked and up-voted it, as it's about to sink without trace, as so many of my submissions do. <fx: shrug> Never mind.
  - jcr 16y ago
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deductive_reasoning#Hume.27s_skepticism http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deductive_reasoning#Hume.27s_sk... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inductive_reasoning#Is_induction_reliable.3F http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inductive_reasoning#Is_inductio... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Problem_of_induction http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Problem_of_induction As mentioned, you have a great way of looking at it, but if the goal is strictly valid, sound, and dare I say, "clear" logic, your interpretation runs too close to "Hume's Skepticism," the "Problem of Induction." When we venture into the philosophical, my usual response is to eventually go running off into the weeds, screaming. ;) In asking the question, "Are all swans white?" can we infer the asker has seen a white swan? In asking the question, "Are all swans blue?" can we infer the asker has seen a blue swan? Though I'd prefer to leave race out of this (due to the "Chinese Mother" nonsense filling HN), replace 'swan' with 'people' and you'll see how the inferred premise can be false and can result in weak induction. Similar could be said for, "Does everyone want coffee?" With this said, it's really a philosophical debate at this point, so it's not a matter of one or the other of us being right or wrong, and I hear the field of weeds next to my house calling my name. ;) For what it's worth, your induction does seem reasonable. Lastly, I have enjoy both your submissions and your posts for quite a long time. They are consistently good.
    - RiderOfGiraffes 16y ago
      Interesting debate - simple starting point, deep waters. I'll leave those for another time - thanks for the pointers. And thanks for the compliment - appreciated.

jcr 16y ago

That is a great way to look at it, but also, the person who asked never answered, hence it's an assumption. I don't mean to be nit-picky but it further supports the point of your article. Thanks for posting it.

RiderOfGiraffes 16y ago
My thinking is that if the person who asked didn't want coffee then the question wouldn't have to be asked, because they would have known the answer should be "No". Hence I think it's safe to assume that the person asking, also wanted coffee. Perhaps they should've asked "Does everyone else want coffee?" Even so, yes, it helps to make the point. > Thanks for posting it. You're welcome. I wish more people liked and up-voted it, as it's about to sink without trace, as so many of my submissions do. <fx: shrug> Never mind.
- jcr 16y ago
  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deductive_reasoning#Hume.27s_skepticism http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deductive_reasoning#Hume.27s_sk... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inductive_reasoning#Is_induction_reliable.3F http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inductive_reasoning#Is_inductio... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Problem_of_induction http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Problem_of_induction As mentioned, you have a great way of looking at it, but if the goal is strictly valid, sound, and dare I say, "clear" logic, your interpretation runs too close to "Hume's Skepticism," the "Problem of Induction." When we venture into the philosophical, my usual response is to eventually go running off into the weeds, screaming. ;) In asking the question, "Are all swans white?" can we infer the asker has seen a white swan? In asking the question, "Are all swans blue?" can we infer the asker has seen a blue swan? Though I'd prefer to leave race out of this (due to the "Chinese Mother" nonsense filling HN), replace 'swan' with 'people' and you'll see how the inferred premise can be false and can result in weak induction. Similar could be said for, "Does everyone want coffee?" With this said, it's really a philosophical debate at this point, so it's not a matter of one or the other of us being right or wrong, and I hear the field of weeds next to my house calling my name. ;) For what it's worth, your induction does seem reasonable. Lastly, I have enjoy both your submissions and your posts for quite a long time. They are consistently good.
  - RiderOfGiraffes 16y ago
    Interesting debate - simple starting point, deep waters. I'll leave those for another time - thanks for the pointers. And thanks for the compliment - appreciated.