4 ms·
Trying different things and settled on running with 2% chance. At bet 600 I was at $191.25. Not too bad of a gain, but the I went 200 bets without a win, putti
by JokerDan 7y ago
Trying different things and settled on running with 2% chance.
At bet 600 I was at $191.25. Not too bad of a gain, but the I went 200 bets without a win, putting me at -$8.75 and I stopped playing.
I always find things like this, chance and probability a very satisfying and interesting thing to see how it works out.
- rognjen 7y agoYep very interesting to let it run for a while on different choices even though the expected value of each one is 0.95
- sshb 7y agoDid simulate this stuff https://github.com/sashabaranov/betting/blob/master/Betting.ipynb https://github.com/sashabaranov/betting/blob/master/Betting.... 2% looks like good short-term strategy
- kaues 7y agoCool simulation, I guess it could be extended to generate more than 2 lines per config and aggregate all lines, and then it would likely converge to the respective binomial distribution stats on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution.
- kaues 7y agoI've also concluded that the lowest chance (and highest variance) is the best strategy. Even though the expected value is the same for all options, as another comment says. This means that in a real life casino roulette one should bet (the minimum bet) on a single number and stop after the first win (or after running out of money).