3 ms·
Things are still shrinking but the tempo seems to be slowing down a bit even at TSMC. Maybe we'll get our full 6 remaining doublings down to 9Å[1] but I'm not
by Symmetry 7y ago
Things are still shrinking but the tempo seems to be slowing down a bit even at TSMC. Maybe we'll get our full 6 remaining doublings down to 9Å[1] but I'm not sure I would count on it, especially given that the cost of a cutting edge fab is also going up exponentially. Even if features stop shrinking that doesn't mean that price per transistor will stop going down. And we're very far from the theoretical limits of energy per computation so I tend to expect we'll move to some other computational substrate in the future.
[1]https://en.wikichip.org/wiki/technology_node https://en.wikichip.org/wiki/technology_node
[2]http://www.futrfab.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/Small-Volume-Technology-Fabrication_new.pdf http://www.futrfab.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/Small-Volu...