3 ms·
Moore’s law is pretty well on track – transistor density has been steadily increasing for decades now, and still is.
by 0x64 7y ago
Moore’s law is pretty well on track – transistor density has been steadily increasing for decades now, and still is.
- Symmetry 7y agoThings are still shrinking but the tempo seems to be slowing down a bit even at TSMC. Maybe we'll get our full 6 remaining doublings down to 9Å[1] but I'm not sure I would count on it, especially given that the cost of a cutting edge fab is also going up exponentially. Even if features stop shrinking that doesn't mean that price per transistor will stop going down. And we're very far from the theoretical limits of energy per computation so I tend to expect we'll move to some other computational substrate in the future. [1]https://en.wikichip.org/wiki/technology_node https://en.wikichip.org/wiki/technology_node [2]http://www.futrfab.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/Small-Volume-Technology-Fabrication_new.pdf http://www.futrfab.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/Small-Volu...
- sporkland 7y agoThere are a fair number of folks including Gordon Moore who have said Moore's law will end in the next couple halvings.
- deepnotderp 7y ago1) Slowing is happening and at some point you run out of atoms 2) Usually people mean all of CMOS scaling (ie Dennard Scaling) when they refer to "Moore's law ". Exponential increase in power density is low key useless...