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Noteworthy: Apple "analyst" Gene Munster predicted 4.3 million iPads sold in 2010. (http://read.bi/cYCppW http://read.bi/cYCppW) Actual results: 7.33 million j

Noteworthy: Apple "analyst" Gene Munster predicted 4.3 million iPads sold in 2010. (http://read.bi/cYCppW http://read.bi/cYCppW) Actual results: 7.33 million just last quarter.

protomyth 16y ago
Mr. Munster gets quite a lot wrong. I am starting to think make a site to solely catalog and score predictions by analysts would be a pretty popular public service.
- whakojacko 16y ago
  please do this.
  - protomyth 16y ago
    Well, the whois for claimchowder.com is pretty interesting....
    - pohl 16y ago
      This is a frequent recurring theme on daring fireball. Doesn't he know the Panic guys? http://daringfireball.net/search?q=claim+chowder http://daringfireball.net/search?q=claim+chowder
- Samuel_Michon 16y ago
  "I am starting to think make a site to solely catalog and score predictions by analysts would be a pretty popular public service." Philip Elmer DeWitt at Apple 2.0 already has you covered, every quarter he rounds up all the analysts' predictions and after actual results are announced, he writes about the outliers. He also tracks how often the analysts are right/wrong. Apple Q1 2011 earnings preview: http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2011/01/18/apple-q1-2011-earnings-preview/ http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2011/01/18/apple-q1-2011-earning...
YooLi 16y ago
14.79 Million iPads sold since the April 2010 release. I think the term 'hotcakes' applies.
evgen 16y ago
"Analysts" who go contrarian on Apple are fairly common, and they have spent the past decade being wrong. At this point low-balling Apple has become so common that I think a lot of analysts do this just in case they manage to draw the lucky lottery ticket and "predict" a miss by Apple -- if they are correct their prediction stands out and when they are wrong they just get filed into the long, long list of bad Apple predictions.
- deleted 16y ago
  [deleted]
- redial 16y ago
  Sometimes I wonder if they do it on purpose...No one can be that stubborn, specially after being proven wrong time after time.
- ra88it 16y ago
  If they are correct then their prediction is still just part of the long, long list. Why would it stand out?
tzs 16y ago
Why single him out? When iPad was finally shown in January the notion that it would not sell more than a few million, tops, was very widespread among analysts and most of the tech press. Hell, people were giving Leo Laporte a hard time because he came in with one of the highest estimates, at (I think) over 5 million.
- protomyth 16y ago
  His name is pretty memorable and he seems to show up quite a lot when people want an "expert" opinion on Apple.

Noteworthy: Apple "analyst" Gene Munster predicted 4.3 million iPads sold in 2010. (http://read.bi/cYCppW http://read.bi/cYCppW) Actual results: 7.33 million just last quarter.

protomyth 16y ago

Mr. Munster gets quite a lot wrong. I am starting to think make a site to solely catalog and score predictions by analysts would be a pretty popular public service.

whakojacko 16y ago
please do this.
- protomyth 16y ago
  Well, the whois for claimchowder.com is pretty interesting....
  - pohl 16y ago
    This is a frequent recurring theme on daring fireball. Doesn't he know the Panic guys? http://daringfireball.net/search?q=claim+chowder http://daringfireball.net/search?q=claim+chowder
Samuel_Michon 16y ago
"I am starting to think make a site to solely catalog and score predictions by analysts would be a pretty popular public service." Philip Elmer DeWitt at Apple 2.0 already has you covered, every quarter he rounds up all the analysts' predictions and after actual results are announced, he writes about the outliers. He also tracks how often the analysts are right/wrong. Apple Q1 2011 earnings preview: http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2011/01/18/apple-q1-2011-earnings-preview/ http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2011/01/18/apple-q1-2011-earning...

YooLi 16y ago

14.79 Million iPads sold since the April 2010 release. I think the term 'hotcakes' applies.

evgen 16y ago

"Analysts" who go contrarian on Apple are fairly common, and they have spent the past decade being wrong. At this point low-balling Apple has become so common that I think a lot of analysts do this just in case they manage to draw the lucky lottery ticket and "predict" a miss by Apple -- if they are correct their prediction stands out and when they are wrong they just get filed into the long, long list of bad Apple predictions.

deleted 16y ago
[deleted]
redial 16y ago
Sometimes I wonder if they do it on purpose...No one can be that stubborn, specially after being proven wrong time after time.
ra88it 16y ago
If they are correct then their prediction is still just part of the long, long list. Why would it stand out?

tzs 16y ago

Why single him out? When iPad was finally shown in January the notion that it would not sell more than a few million, tops, was very widespread among analysts and most of the tech press. Hell, people were giving Leo Laporte a hard time because he came in with one of the highest estimates, at (I think) over 5 million.

protomyth 16y ago
His name is pretty memorable and he seems to show up quite a lot when people want an "expert" opinion on Apple.