4 ms·

Good in-depth article. Only nitpick is the part about "Apple’s rollout might be slowing." They have to really (in my opinion) misrepresent the data to say that

Good in-depth article. Only nitpick is the part about "Apple’s rollout might be slowing." They have to really (in my opinion) misrepresent the data to say that it's slowing. The author quotes how the latest expansion is smaller than the last expansion. However, they don't take into account that the "Expansion 5" came only one month after "Expansion 4", which came /five/ months after "Expansion 3". If anything, it would feel like the rollout is speeding up, since it came hot on the heels of the previous expansion. The author does, at least, qualify that the most recent expansion covers a lot more population density than previous expansions.

dasfewagasd 7y ago
It's a bit harsh to say that the data is "misrepresented" here, especially since it's immediately qualified with the population density info. Apple could very well be slowing down, and it's not immediately clear to me that they'll actually make their deadline.
- SECProto 7y ago
  I don't think it's harsh. The author says that the rollout might be slowing. They justify this with smaller increase in coverage in the most recent update. But the updates are not spaced equal amounts of time apart. So the actual expansion per unit time is continuing to increase. Compare to OS releases. Windows 10 gets updates every month, with feature updates every six months. Compared to before, these updates have fewer features. But they are coming much more frequently. Can we say updates are slowing, because they don't have as many features in each update? Or do we have to look at the features per unit time? I agree that it's not necessarily clear that they'll make their end of 2019 deadline.
  - dasfewagasd 7y ago
    I disagree. The first few expansions were increasing at a rate of 5x and were roughly 2 months apart. Then the 4th expansion took almost six months and was only 1.4x bigger. And now this latest expansion, which took ~2 months, is smaller than the last two. So it's definitely fair to speculate that Apple might be slowing.

dasfewagasd 7y ago

It's a bit harsh to say that the data is "misrepresented" here, especially since it's immediately qualified with the population density info. Apple could very well be slowing down, and it's not immediately clear to me that they'll actually make their deadline.

SECProto 7y ago
I don't think it's harsh. The author says that the rollout might be slowing. They justify this with smaller increase in coverage in the most recent update. But the updates are not spaced equal amounts of time apart. So the actual expansion per unit time is continuing to increase. Compare to OS releases. Windows 10 gets updates every month, with feature updates every six months. Compared to before, these updates have fewer features. But they are coming much more frequently. Can we say updates are slowing, because they don't have as many features in each update? Or do we have to look at the features per unit time? I agree that it's not necessarily clear that they'll make their end of 2019 deadline.
- dasfewagasd 7y ago
  I disagree. The first few expansions were increasing at a rate of 5x and were roughly 2 months apart. Then the 4th expansion took almost six months and was only 1.4x bigger. And now this latest expansion, which took ~2 months, is smaller than the last two. So it's definitely fair to speculate that Apple might be slowing.