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I would think Pascal's Wager can be applied to that. If Musk is wrong, being extra careful with AI will just mean slightly slower development. If he's right and
by KoftaBob 7y ago
I would think Pascal's Wager can be applied to that. If Musk is wrong, being extra careful with AI will just mean slightly slower development. If he's right and we don't take it seriously, humanity is wiped out. Why take the chance?
- bjornjaja 7y agoAI won’t have to do much— humanity already on course to destroy itself.
- rebuilder 7y agoIf you go outside, you might get struck by a car. Why take the chance? Awareness of a risk isn't very helpful if it doesn't come with an understanding of the odds and the costs and benefits involved.
- CarVac 7y agoPascal's Wager is something you either make or don't make based on your own understanding of the odds of each outcome and the costs of each outcome. Clearly you have a different understanding than Elon.
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- c3534l 7y agoPascal's Wager is considered a joke for good reason. It's not any less a terrible argument here than in philosophy.
- Yessing 7y agoI thought that pascal's Wager only works with infinite reward/ punishment. End of humanity is in the grand scheme of things something trivial. It's just happens and then nobody suffers. so there must be a probability low enough to balance it out.