2 ms·
We are halfway to the first doubling of co2 right now. 280 is preindustrial, 560 is the first doubling, 410 is where we are. Now emissions are rising exponent
by fallingfrog 7y ago
We are halfway to the first doubling of co2 right now. 280 is preindustrial, 560 is the first doubling, 410 is where we are. Now emissions are rising exponentially. If things turned around on a dime and emissions fell as fast as they went up, then the total co2 would be about 1 doubling. If the climate sensitivity is 3 degrees, then that’s 3 degrees of warming right there. Holding it to 1.5 or 2 would require emissions to go down substantially faster than that.
But my money is on nothing getting done, and emissions continuing to rise exponentially for the next 20 years at least. That means probably 6 degrees or more of warming.
I will fight to try to stop that from happening.. but that’s where we’re at.
The real problem is that the worlds fossil fuel deposits and infrastructure represents at least 6 trillion dollars worth of someone’s private property, and they will fight to the end to make sure that that investment pays out. That means using all the worlds fossil fuel deposits, no matter the cost to society.