https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/01/25/predictions-for-2019/ https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/01/25/predictions-for-2019/ I think he actually predicted that Trum

https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/01/25/predictions-for-2019/ https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/01/25/predictions-for-2019/ I think he actually predicted that Trump would remain the president, but I've always found the predictions post as strange. It seems like he's making a bunch of safe bets and scoring them safely, and then declaring himself accurate as a result. "What everything thinks is most likely is probably most likely, so you should listen to what I have to say" would be the takeaway, which isn't that interesting.