Why would it possibly be a "black swan" event? All the numbers are public and we see it coming from miles away. Black swan event refer to something that isn't e

Why would it possibly be a "black swan" event? All the numbers are public and we see it coming from miles away. Black swan event refer to something that isn't easily predicable because of their rarity. The government makes debt payments and calculations constanty. It's not like people just want up one morning and everything changes. That's not how markets work. The people who pay these "everything will turn in a dine when people really understand" narratives are usually people who the markets are telling them they are wrong and cannot accept it.