4 ms·
> But I know that things have not changes and they are certainly not more sever than the 1930's storms or for that matter the 1700's storms referenced in my fam
by EdwardDiego 7y ago
> But I know that things have not changes and they are certainly not more sever than the 1930's storms or for that matter the 1700's storms referenced in my families diaries.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-08471-z.epdf?author_access_token=_9OqacbRYOHwslEUu3098tRgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0M9qdk4C5vdts5LWxw9W-qg0U_ub3N4DZI4Xtz-bIk9W9KfkC6fOfEiNNoy1twMvawPWEaScUWcLz_m8se4lob-OadIiDSYz68K3d5FuPgxOg%3D%3D https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-08471-z.epdf?auth...
> Both observed datasets show significant increases in tropical cyclone intensification rates in the Atlantic basin that are highly unusual compared to model-based estimates of internal climate variations. Our results suggest a detectable increase of Atlantic intensification rates with a positive contribution from anthropogenic forcing and reveal a need for more reliable data before detecting a robust trend at the global scale
I'm not sure if you're expecting "Day After Tomorrow" sized storms or what, but the actual data points to changes in hurricane behaviour due to the warming climate.
- kls 7y agoSorry just getting back to this thread: >>Here, we utilize two observational datasets to calculate 24-hour wind speed changes over the period 1982–2009 Paper was published in 2019 from what I can tell by references, 2007-2008 was the peak of the 9 year cycle. Why was the calmer cycle of 2010 thru 2015 excluded? They go one to reference publication from the 70's but exclude any data set from that time. It's a nice sliver of time to include, Mitch, Isabel, Ivan Hugo, Katrina, Rita, Wilma, Andrew, Dean ending with Felix in 07. We then enter the quite period of no major storms until 2016 with Mathew, so almost a decade of contrary data that was not included.