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I'd like to understand this better. Do you have a scientific citation for 12.5mm yr until 2100? Here's the latest from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric
by todd8 7y ago
I'd like to understand this better. Do you have a scientific citation for 12.5mm yr until 2100?
Here's the latest from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration[1]. It is a graph that shows with 95% confidence there has been a 2.42mm/year SLR for Key West from 1913 to 2018, the most recent information on their site for sea level trends.
When I look at the graph, it looks quite linear over that time period, that spans from before significant anthropomorphic CO2 to the current period of hockey-stick temperatures. I don't see the evidence for expecting 12.5mm/yr, but I'm not a climate scientist.
I'm ready to call BS on the Bloomberg article, but I'm open to hearing more information on this.
[1] https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?id=8724580 https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station....
- nealabq 7y agoThe paper you cited above calls 20, 39 and 59 inches of SLR by 2100 the low, intermediate and high scenarios. And 39 inches is close to a meter. But since the paper is from 2013 I should have used 87 years. So 1000mm/87yrs = 11.5mm/yr, a little more optimistic than 12.5mm/yr.